实用临床医药杂志2024,Vol.28Issue(23) :65-69.DOI:10.7619/jcmp.20242249

腹腔镜胃癌根治术后胃瘫综合征的危险因素分析及预测模型构建

Risk factor and prediction model construction for postoperative gastroparesis syndrome after laparoscopic radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer

刘蓓 孙倩 薛颖 魏明丽 浦洁
实用临床医药杂志2024,Vol.28Issue(23) :65-69.DOI:10.7619/jcmp.20242249

腹腔镜胃癌根治术后胃瘫综合征的危险因素分析及预测模型构建

Risk factor and prediction model construction for postoperative gastroparesis syndrome after laparoscopic radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer

刘蓓 1孙倩 1薛颖 1魏明丽 1浦洁1
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作者信息

  • 1. 江苏省淮安市第二人民医院胃肠外科,江苏淮安,223001
  • 折叠

摘要

目的 分析接受腹腔镜胃癌根治术(LRG)治疗的胃癌患者发生术后胃瘫综合征(PGS)的危险因素,构建PGS的列线图预测模型并验证其预测效能.方法 回顾性分析439例胃癌患者的临床资料,根据术后2个月内是否发生PGS将患者分成PGS组和对照组.采用Logistic回归分析筛选LRG患者发生PGS的危险因素,并基于筛选结果构建列线图预测模型.通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估列线图的区分度,通过校准曲线评估列线图的一致性.结果 439例患者中,52例发生PGS,PGS发生率为11.85%.PGS组年龄≥60岁、伴有糖尿病、有腹部手术史、合并幽门梗阻、手术时间≥4 h及术中吻合方式为B-Ⅱ式的患者占比均高于对照组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05).多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,伴有糖尿病、有腹部手术史、合并幽门梗阻、手术时间≥4 h、术中吻合方式为B-Ⅱ式是LRG患者发生PGS的危险因素(P<0.05).内部验证结果显示,ROC曲线的曲线下面积为0.839(95%CI:0.773~0.905),校准曲线拟合良好,Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验结果为x2=9.078,P=0.247.结论 伴有糖尿病、有腹部手术史、合并幽门梗阻、手术时间≥4 h、术中吻合方式为B-Ⅱ式是LRG患者发生PGS的危险因素,基于这些因素构建的列线图能够有效预测LRG患者的PGS发生风险.

Abstract

Objective To analyze the risk factors for postoperative gastroparesis syndrome(PGS)in gastric cancer patients undergoing laparoscopic radical gastrectomy(LRG)and to construct and validate a nomogram prediction model for PGS.Methods The clinical data of 439 gastric cancer patients were retrospectively analyzed.Patients were divided into PGS group and control group based on whether PGS occurred within 2 months after surgery.Logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors of PGS in LRG patients,and a nomogram prediction model was constructed based on the screening results.The discriminative ability of the nomogram was assessed by the receiv-er operating characteristic(ROC)curve,and its consistency was evaluated by the calibration curve.Results Among 439 patients,52 developed PGS,with an incidence rate of 11.85%.The propor-tions of patients aged ≥60 years,complicating with diabetes,having a history of abdominal surgery,complicating with pyloric obstruction,having surgery duration≥4 hours,and intraoperative anasto-mosis type of B-Ⅱ were higher in the PGS group than those in the control group(P<0.05).The results of multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes,a history of abdominal surger-y,pyloric obstruction,surgery duration ≥4 hours,and intraoperative anastomosis type of B-Ⅱ were risk factors for PGS in LRG patients(P<0.05).Internal validation results showed that the area un-der the ROC curve was 0.839(95%CI,0.773 to 0.905),the calibration curve fitted well,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test result was good(x2=9.078,P=0.247).Conclusion Diabetes,a history of abdominal surgery,pyloric obstruction,surgery duration ≥4 hours,and intraoperative anastomosis type of B-Ⅱ are risk factors for PGS in LRG patients.The nomogram constructed based on these factors can effectively predict the risk of PGS in LRG patients.

关键词

腹腔镜/胃癌根治术/术后胃瘫综合征/危险因素/列线图

Key words

laparoscopy/radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer/postoperative gastroparesis syndrome/risk factors/nomogram

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出版年

2024
实用临床医药杂志
扬州大学,中国高校科技期刊研究会

实用临床医药杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.543
ISSN:1672-2353
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