给水排水2024,Vol.50Issue(4) :166-172.DOI:10.13789/j.cnki.wwe1964.2023.10.03.0002

基于CEEMDAN-LSTM模型的污水处理厂N2O排放预测研究

Research on N2O emission prediction in WWTPs based on CEEMDAN-LSTM

陈宏伟 邢雯雯 赵传靓 曹本川 刘家华 赵晓红 杨利伟
给水排水2024,Vol.50Issue(4) :166-172.DOI:10.13789/j.cnki.wwe1964.2023.10.03.0002

基于CEEMDAN-LSTM模型的污水处理厂N2O排放预测研究

Research on N2O emission prediction in WWTPs based on CEEMDAN-LSTM

陈宏伟 1邢雯雯 2赵传靓 1曹本川 1刘家华 1赵晓红 1杨利伟1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 长安大学建筑工程学院,西安 710061
  • 2. 长安大学建筑工程学院,西安 710061;中国建筑设计研究院有限公司,北京 100044
  • 折叠

摘要

在我国实行"双碳"战略的背景下,污水处理厂N2O排放预测对于污水处理厂的碳中和有积极意义.现有的污水处理厂N2O排放预测研究通常直接采用基于包含噪声的N2O排放量数据进行建模预测,导致模型预测精度不高.采用自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解-长短期记忆网络(CEEMDAN-LSTM)模型,通过引入CEEMDAN方法缓解数据中噪声对模型的影响以提高模型预测精度,对污水处理厂N2O排放进行预测并在预测验证集上验证模型.与LSTM、门控循环单元(GRU)、人工神经网络(ANN)和支持向量机(SVM)模型相比,CEEMDAN-LSTM预测精度最高,均方误差(MSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)分别为5 497.11、56.55和1.22%,能够更高精度地预测N2O排放量,为污水处理厂采取合适的碳中和策略提供理论支撑.

Abstract

Against the backdrop of China's implementation of the"dual carbon"strategy,pre-dicting N2O emissions from wastewater treatment plants(WWTPs)has significance for carbon neutrality in WWTPs.The existing studies on N2O emission prediction is usually directly based on modeling and prediction of N2O emission data containing noise,resulting in low prediction accuracy of the model.In this study,a model combining Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise(CEEMDAN)and Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM),referred to as the CEEMDAN-LSTM model,is introduced.The CEEMDAN methodology is introduced to alleviate the impact of noise in the data,enhancing the model's predictive accuracy.The model is applied to forecast N2O emissions from WWTPs and is validated on a test dataset.Compared to models such as LSTM,Gated Recurrent Unit(GRU),Artificial Neural Networks(ANN)and Support Vector Machine(SVM),the CEEMDAN-LSTM model demonstrates superior performance in terms of Mean Squared Error(MSE),Mean Absolute Error(MAE),and Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE),with values of 5 497.11,56.55,and 1.22%,respectively.It can more accurately pre-dict N2O emissions,providing theoretical support for wastewater treatment plants to adopt appro-priate carbon offset strategies.

关键词

污水处理厂/N2O排放预测/碳排放因子法/CEEMDAN/LSTM

Key words

WWTPs/N2O emission prediction/Carbon emission factor method/CEEMDAN/LSTM

引用本文复制引用

基金项目

国家重点研发计划(2018YFE0103800)

出版年

2024
给水排水
亚太建设科技信息研究院,中国建筑设计研究院,中国土木工程学会

给水排水

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.8
ISSN:1002-8471
参考文献量15
段落导航相关论文