Carbon emission prediction of road transport industry in Zhejiang province under the"double carbon"target
In order to study the future trend of carbon emissions from road transportation,quantifying the effectiveness of carbon reduction measures.Based on the energy consumption and transportation data of Zhejiang province,the unit carbon emission intensity was presented,and combined with scenario analysis,the carbon emission prediction model was established.The results show that the unit carbon emission intensity of road passenger transport,road fright transport,buses,and taxis was 304.4 kg·10000 person-km-1、383.3 kg·10000 ton-km-1、43.4 kg·100 km-1、12.5 kg·100 km-1 respectively.The time arrive peak of carbon emissions under the three scenarios is different.Under the enhanced low-carbon scenario,the road transport will reach the peak of carbon emission in 2028,with a peak of 14.9 million tons.Carbon emissions from road transportation can be reduced through improvement of energy-saving and emission reduction technologies,vehicle fuel economy and increasing the promotion of new energy vehicles,adjustment of transportation structure.
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