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行人-非机动车慢行共享路段的交通冲突模型

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受红线宽度限制,部分城市道路采用行人与非机动车共享空间的断面形式.近年来,共享自行车、外卖送餐、快递送货等非机动车出行显著增长,慢行共享路段上交通冲突事件的发生频率也显著提高,不但增加道路交通安全风险,也对道路服务水平产生影响.根据深圳市 4 条行人与非机动车共享路段上交通调查获取的数据,分析行人、自行车和电动车 3 种交通实体在慢行共享路段上发生交通冲突的影响因素.基于 SPSS软件对冲突事件数量及其潜在影响因素进行相关性分析,通过逐步回归法筛选最佳解释变量集合,构建行人-非机动车慢行共享路段的交通冲突分析模型.模型显示,慢行共享路段的冲突事件数量与交通流量、不同交通实体的比例、逆行比例和道路宽度等因素相关,模型可用于行人-非机动车慢行共享路段的服务水平分析.
Traffic conflict model of pedestrians and non-motorized vehicles slow-moving shared lane
Due to the limitations imposed by the width of road red line,some urban road sections have adopted a cross-sectional form that allows for shared space between pedestrians and non-motorized vehicles.In recent years,with the significant growth of non-motorized vehicle travel such as bike-sharing,food delivery,and express delivery,the frequency of traffic conflicts has also increased rapidly on shared slow lanes,which has affected road traffic safety and road service level.Data collected from traffic surveys conducted on four pedestrian and non-motorized vehicle shared sections in Shenzhen were analyzed to identify the factors influencing traffic conflicts involving pedestrians,bicycles,and electric vehicles on shared slow lanes.Using SPSS software,a correlation analysis was conducted on the number of conflict incidents and their potential influencing factors.Through stepwise regression,the optimal set of explanatory variables was selected to construct a traffic conflict analysis model for pedestrian-non-motorized vehicle shared slow lanes.The model reveals that the number of conflict incidents on shared slow lanes is associated with traffic flow,the proportion of different traffic entities,the proportion of wrong-way traffic,and road width,among other factors.This model can be applied to analyze the level of service on pedestrian-non-motorized vehicle shared slow lanes.

traffic engineeringtraffic conflictstepwise regression methodslow-moving shared laneservice level

莫一魁、蔡嘉浩、邓雁翎、谢定卓、谢侨华

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深圳大学 土木与交通工程学院,广东 深圳 518060

交通工程 交通冲突 逐步回归法 慢行共享道 服务水平

国家自然科学基金项目

51208308

2024

交通科技与经济
黑龙江工程学院

交通科技与经济

影响因子:0.862
ISSN:1008-5696
年,卷(期):2024.26(5)