Decoupling status and driving factors of carbon emissions for the transportation industry in three northeastern provinces of China
In the context of the"dual-carbon"target,the decoupling of carbon emissions from economic development in the transportation industry in three northeastern provinces of China will help promote high-quality development and sustainable revitalization of the region.The article takes carbon emissions from the transportation industry in three northeastern provinces of China from 2000 to 2021 as the object of study to explore the decoupling status and decoupling stability,and further analyses the driving factors affecting decoupling by applying the LMDI method.The results show that the decoupling status of carbon emissions from the transport sector in three northeastern provinces of China is complex in terms of change,with poor decoupling stability and a tendency to transition to strong decoupling prior to the New Crown Epidemic;The effect of each driving factor fluctuated during the study period.Overall,economic development and traffic intensity hinder decoupling,while energy intensity effectively promoted decoupling.The driving effects of energy structure and industrial structure factors on decoupling status fluctuated in different years,and the impact of population size on decoupling was minimal.The transportation industry in three northeastern provinces of China has great potential for carbon emission decoupling,and further promotion of a low-carbon transport system is still needed in the future.