首页|基于结构方程模型的地铁突发事件下弱势群体帮扶意愿影响分析

基于结构方程模型的地铁突发事件下弱势群体帮扶意愿影响分析

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针对地铁突发事件下弱势群体帮扶意愿影响机理不清楚等问题,研究开展问卷调查精细化分析了实际地铁应急疏散状态下乘客疏散条件、自身状况、帮扶对象等多因素对帮扶意愿的影响及各因素间的结构关系.研究发现:地铁应急疏散过程中,影响疏散效率最高的为老年群体(62.92%),其次为幼小群体(25.83%);而受应急疏散负面影响最大的则为幼小群体(51.25%),其次是老年群体(39.58%).借助方差分析发现地铁乘客应急疏散过程中的帮扶意愿受到自身状况、疏散条件及帮扶对象的显著性影响(p<0.05).利用信效度检验对帮扶意愿影响因素进行筛减优化,搭建结构方程模型(structural equation modeling,SEM)精准获取弱势群体应急疏散帮扶行为关键影响因子,量化各因素间的关联关系.结果显示不利的疏散条件对帮扶行为有直接负面影响(-0.162),帮扶对象自身状况对帮扶行为有直接正面影响(0.151),不利疏散条件对帮扶对象自身状况有直接正面影响(0.652).结果表明,乘客的疏散条件不利时将降低其帮扶意愿;帮扶对象情况不乐观时将提高乘客的帮扶意愿;帮扶行为有奖励时,能提高乘客帮扶意愿;同时,即使乘客处于不利的疏散条件,当遇到情况不乐观的帮扶对象时,仍有较高的帮扶意愿.
An Impact Analysis of Willingness to Help Vulnerable Groups under Subway Emergencies Based on SEM Model
To address the issue of unclear mechanisms influencing the willingness to help vulnerable groups under subway emergencies,a questionnaire survey is conducted.It aims to refine the analysis of the impact of multiple fac-tors,such as passenger evacuation conditions,their own status,and the target of assistance,on the willingness to as-sist during actual subway emergency evacuations,as well as the structural relationships among these factors.The study finds that elderly group are the most likely to hinder evacuation efficiency(62.92% ),followed by young chil-dren(25.83% ).Among these vulnerable groups,young children are most negatively affected by emergency evacua-tion(51.25% ),followed by elderly group(39.58% ).Through variance analysis,it reveals that passengers'willing-ness to help during evacuation of subway emergencies is significantly influenced by their own conditions,evacua-tion conditions,and the characteristics of those in need of assistance(p<0.05).To refine and optimize the influenc-ing factors of assistance willingness,the study conducts reliability and validity tests,and constructs the Structural Equation Modeling(SEM)is used to accurately identify the key influencing factors of assistance behaviors towards vulnerable groups under subway emergencies,while clarifying the quantitative relationships among these factors.The results indicate that unfavorable evacuation conditions have a direct negative impact on assistance behaviors(-0.162),whereas the conditions of those in need have a direct positive influence(0.151).Additionally,unfavor-able evacuation conditions have a direct positive impact on the conditions of those in need(0.652).These findings suggest that poor evacuation conditions reduce passengers'willingness to help while unfavorable conditions of those in need increase it.The promise of rewards for assistance behaviors also enhances passengers'willingness to help.Notably,even under unfavorable evacuation conditions,passengers still exhibit a high willingness to assist when encountering those in dire need.

rail transitvulnerable groups in the subwayassistance willingnessSEM modelemergency evacuation

黄利华、陈霄彤、吕淑然、刘旭腾、陈康、王晨硕

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首都经济贸易大学管理工程学院 北京 100079

轨道交通 地铁弱势群体 帮扶意愿 结构方程模型 应急疏散

国家自然科学基金面上项目北京市教委科技一般项目

51474151KM202410038001

2024

交通信息与安全
武汉理工大学 交通计算机应用信息网

交通信息与安全

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.598
ISSN:1674-4861
年,卷(期):2024.42(3)
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