The number of rail transit trains directly affects the efficiency of train operation organization and also affects the level of passenger service.To ensure the reasonable matching of rail transit capacity and volume,it is necessary to regularly organize research on the purchase of rail transit trains.The prediction methods such as model method,trend extrapolation method,and feasibility study calculation method are analyzed and compared,and a prediction method is selected that adapts to the characteristics of rail transit passenger flow changes for passenger flow prediction.Based on the results of passenger flow prediction,the number of newly purchased vehicles is calculated.Taking Shenzhen rail transit as an example,passenger flow prediction is conducted based on the selected passenger flow prediction method,and a train purchase plan is formulated to guide the scientific and efficient operation of rail transit.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
