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武汉中城悦城项目造价风险控制研究

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为了科学有效评价工程项目造价风险,提高项目的抗风险能力,文中首先利用文献调研法构建了由4 个一级指标和 15 个二级指标组成的工程项目造价风险指标体系;其次利用熵权法对指标赋值,将熵权法与未确知测度理论相结合,构建了工程项目造价风险评价模型;最后以武汉中城悦城项目为例,分析了该模型的可行性.结果表明,该评价模型可以较好地量化风险等级,评价结果与实际情况基本一致.
Research on Cost Risk Control of Wuhan Zhongcheng Yuecheng Project
In order to evaluate the cost risk of engineering projects scientifically and effectively,and improve the anti-risk ability of projects,this paper firstly constructed a project cost risk index system composed of 4 first-level indexes and 15 second-level indexes by using the litera-ture research method.Secondly,entropy weight method was used to assign value to the index.Combining entropy weight method with unascer-tained measure theory,the project cost risk assessment model was constructed.Finally,the feasibility of the model was analyzed by taking Wu-han Zhongcheng Yuecheng project as an example.The results show that the evaluation model can quantify the risk level well,and the evalua-tion results are basically consistent with the actual situation.

Entropy weight methodUnascertained measure theoryCost riskRisk evaluation

秦芳、苏恒恒

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武汉华夏理工学院,湖北 武汉 430223

南昌大学工程建设学院,江西 南昌 330000

熵权法 未确知测度理论 造价风险 风险评价

2024

江西建材
江西省建材科研设计院

江西建材

影响因子:2.247
ISSN:1006-2890
年,卷(期):2024.(3)
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