In order to analyze the influencing factors of forest land use at the county level,this article selects forest land management and socio-economic data from Ning'er county during the 13th Five Year Plan period based on a grey system model,and studies the supply-demand relationship and in-fluencing factors of forest land resources.The results show that the correlation between forest land demand and county GDP,population density,idle land area and built-up area is greater than 0.6,indicating that these four indicators have a significant impact on forest land demand.Through pre-diction and fitting calculation,the posterior difference ratio is 0.242 3,and the results have certain credibility,which can provide reference for forest land management.
关键词
灰色系统模型/使用林地/需求预测
Key words
grey system model/use of forest land/demand forecast