首页|江西武宁县短时强降水时空分布及回波特征分析

江西武宁县短时强降水时空分布及回波特征分析

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为了更好地监测预警暴雨或大暴雨的出现,短时强降水的监测预警十分重要。使用文献气象要素、MI-CAPS天气资料、雷达拼图数据,采用常规分析方法,对武宁县 2012-2021 年短时强降水个例进行分析,结果表明:1)武宁县国家站共出现 19 次短时强降水,区域站(53 个)共出现 611 次短时强降水,最大为船滩镇区域90。4 mm/h,有 10 个区域站最大值超过 70 mm/h。2)地面气象要素瞬间风速总体较平稳,变化不大,风速不超过 10 m/s;降水量具有突变特点,有时伴有 2 个降水高峰;气温变化不大,比较平稳;相对湿度比较高,降水前后都维持在 90%以上的高位;水汽压运行也比较平稳;本站气压波幅较大,短时强降水出现在本站气压较低值时。3)武宁县国家站短时强降水往往是由于大范围混合型降水回波中出现的短带回波所致。当短带回波的走向与回波系统的移向趋于一致时,正好经过武宁县国家站,形成"列车效应"产生短时强降水。武宁县区域站短时强降水大部分由于回波单体所致。回波单体演变也多种多样,有时孤立存在,有时三五一群,有时排列成不连续(不相接)短带。武宁县短时强降水有 2 种回波概念模型:一是在大片絮状回波团(带)中出现的短带回波,二是对流回波单体,有时孤立存在,有时几个回波单体同时存在,相互影响。上述研究结果为武宁县短时强降水监测预警提供了分析依据。
Analysis of Spatiotemporal Distribution and Echo Characteristics of Short-term Heavy Precipitation in Wuning of Jiangxi Province
In order to better monitor and warn the occurrence of rainstorm or heavy rainstorm,the monitoring and warning of short-term heavy rainfall is very important.Using meteorological elements in literature,MICAPS weather data,radar mosaic data,and conventional analysis methods,this pa-per analyzes a case of short-time heavy precipitation in Wuning County from 2012 to 2021.The re-sults show that:1)There were 19 short-time heavy precipitation cases in Wuning County National Station,and 611 short-time heavy precipitation cases in regional stations(53),with the maximum being 90.4 mm/h in the area of Chuantan Town,and the maximum value exceeding 70 mm/h in 10 regional stations.2)The instantaneous wind speed of surface meteorological elements is generally relatively stable,with little change,and the wind speed does not exceed 10 m/s;The precipitation has a sudden change characteristic,sometimes accompanied by two precipitation peaks;The temper-ature does not change much and is relatively stable;The relative humidity is relatively high,main-taining a high level of over 90%before and after precipitation;Resulting in relatively stable water vapor pressure operation;The atmospheric pressure amplitude at this station is relatively large,and short-term heavy precipitation occurs when the atmospheric pressure at this station is low.3)The short-term heavy precipitation at Wuning County National Station is often caused by the short band echo in the large-scale mixed precipitation echo.When the direction of the short band echo tends to be consistent with the movement direction of the echo system,it just passes Wuning County National Station,forming a"train effect"to generate short-term heavy rainfall.The short-time heavy rainfall at the regional station in Wuning County is mostly caused by echo monomer.The evolution of echo cells is also diverse,sometimes isolated,sometimes in groups of three to five,and sometimes ar-ranged into discontinuous(non contiguous)short bands.There are two echo conceptual models for short-term heavy rainfall in Wuning County:one is the short band echo that appears in a large floc-culent echo cluster(zone),and the other is the convective echo cell,which sometimes exists in iso-lation,and sometimes several echo cells exist at the same time,affecting each other.The above re-search results provide an analysis basis for short-term heavy precipitation monitoring and early warn-ing in Wuning County.

Wuningshort-term heavy precipitationecho characteristicsconceptual model

万红燕、马中元、陈鲍发、赖家环、朱辉辉

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江西省武宁县气象局,332300,江西,九江

江西省气象科学研究所,330096,南昌

江西省景德镇市气象局,333000,江西,景德镇

武宁 短时强降水 回波特征 概念模型

国家自然科学基金九江市气象局科学研究课题

41975001JJQX20221025K002

2024

江西科学
江西省科学院

江西科学

影响因子:0.286
ISSN:1001-3679
年,卷(期):2024.42(2)
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