首页|福建省住宅地价时空演变特征及驱动因素研究

福建省住宅地价时空演变特征及驱动因素研究

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基于中国土地市场网 2012-2021 年福建省招、拍、挂出让的住宅用地数据,运用空间自相关方法和空间计量模型进行研究。研究结果:1)福建省住宅地价的空间离散特征平稳,呈现中东高西南低的分布特征;2)城市间地价差异整体缩小,并呈现出相似变动和关联特征;3)年末常住人口规模对住宅地价具有一定的负向影响,人均地区生产总值、城市道路面积、人口密度、房地产开发投资额、客运周转量等都对邻近地区住宅地价有正向溢出效应。福建省住宅地价驱动因素较多,为实现土地市场健康平稳发展,因城施策实现土地资源优化配置,多城联动制定区域协同发展规划是一条可行途径。
Study on the Spatial-temporal Evolution Characteristics and Driving Factors of Residential Land Price in Fujian Province
This study utilized data from the China Land Market Network in Fujian province spanning from 2012 to 2021 to analyze residential land prices.Spatial auto-correlation methods and spatial e-conometric models were employed to examine the data.The findings were as follows:1)Residential land prices in Fujian province exhibited stable spatial dispersion,with higher prices concentrated in the Middle East and lower prices in the Southwest;2)The disparity in land prices between cities decreased over time,indicating similar changes and correlation patterns;3)Various factors influ-enced residential land prices,including the size of the permanent population at year-end.Addition-ally,per capita GDP,urban road area,population density,real estate development investment,and passenger turnover had a positive spillover effect on residential land prices in neighboring areas.In conclusion,residential land prices in Fujian province were influenced by multiple driving factors.To ensure a healthy and stable land market development,it was advisable to implement urban policies that optimize land resource allocation and foster regional collaborative development plans through in-tercity coordination.

residential land priceMoran's I indexspatial econometric modelspace-time evolu-tionFujian province

赵晴晴、唐江桥

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福建农林大学公共管理与法学院,350000,福州

住宅地价 Moran's I指数 空间计量模型 时空演变 福建省

国家社会科学基金福建省社会科学规划研究基地重大项目

20CJY036FJ2020MJDZ027

2024

江西科学
江西省科学院

江西科学

影响因子:0.286
ISSN:1001-3679
年,卷(期):2024.42(2)
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