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基于变权物元可拓模型的公路隧道交通运行环境安全评价

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为了找出影响公路隧道交通运行环境安全的关键因素,科学判定公路隧道交通运行环境的安全状态,从路网因素、隧道因素、天气因素、驾驶员因素、车辆因素、管理因素和养护因素等7个维度,选取28个评价指标,建立公路隧道交通运行环境安全评价的指标体系;然后,提出了基于变权物元可拓模型的公路隧道交通运行环境安全评价模型,其中采用变权理论修正指标权重,以提高权重结果的可靠性;最后,以四川省内公路隧道群为例,确定了其交通运行环境的安全等级。结果表明,构建的模型有效性较好,能够给出公路隧道交通运行环境安全的关键因素,并科学合理的评价公路隧道交通安全水平。根据安全评价结果,给出提升公路隧道安全管理水平的建议和方向。
Study on Traffic Safety Risk Evaluation of Highway Tunnels Based on Variable-Weight Objective Topological Models
In order to find out the key factors affecting the safety of the traffic operation environment of road tunnels and determine the safety status of the traffic operation environment of road tunnels in a scientific way,28 evaluation indexes are selected from seven dimensions,including road network factors,tunnel factors,weather factors,driver factors,vehicle factors,management factors,and maintenance factors,etc.,and the index system for the safety evaluation of the traffic operation environment of road tunnels is established;then a safety evaluation model is put forward based on the variable-weighted object element Then,a safety evaluation model of road tunnel traffic operation environment based on variable-weight object element model is proposed,in which the variable-weight theory is used to correct the weights of indicators in order to improve the reliability of the weighting results;finally,the safety level of the traffic operation environment of road tunnels in Sichuan Province is determined by taking the road tunnel group as an example.The results show that the effectiveness of the model constructed in this paper is good,and it can give the key factors of the safety of the traffic operation environment of road tunnels and evaluate the traffic safety level of road tunnels in a scientific and reasonable way.According to the safety evaluation results,suggestions and directions for improving the safety management level of road tunnels are given.

road tunnelssec urity risk indicator systemmatter-element extension model with variable weightsec urity risk assessment

赵媛媛

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徐州市公路事业发展中心,221132,江苏,徐州

公路隧道 安全风险指标体系 变权物元可拓模型 安全风险评价

2024

江西科学
江西省科学院

江西科学

影响因子:0.286
ISSN:1001-3679
年,卷(期):2024.42(6)