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江西省电力行业碳减排政策影响分析

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为了应对国内日益严格的碳排放管控措施,助力江西省电力行业早日实现"双碳"目标,亟需从科学的角度出台相关的减排政策并客观地评价这些政策.以江西省能源政策模型为基础,对电力行业碳减排设置了两种情景(照常和"双碳"情景),分析其关键指标变化、不同政策的减排贡献及减排成本.结果显示,到2060年"双碳"情景和照常情景下的电力行业CO2排放当量分别为7.89×106t和92.10×106t,其中清洁电力标准和电力进出口 2项政策的碳减排贡献加总占比达到94.5%.基于研究结果,本文提出了一些对策建议:1)健全体制机制,优化能源结构;2)加强技术创新,提高能源效率;3)完善市场机制,加强宣传教育.以期为推动江西省电力行业低碳发展提供参考.
Analysis of Carbon Emission Reduction Policies in Power Sector of Jiangxi Province
In order to cope with the increasingly strict carbon emission control measures in China and help the power industry in Jiangxi province achieve the"dual carbon"goal as soon as possible,it is urgent to introduce relevant emission reduction policies from a scientific perspective and objectively evaluate these policies.Based on the energy policy model of Jiangxi province,two scenarios(normal and"dual carbon"scenarios)were set up for carbon reduction in the power industry,analyzing the changes in key indicators,the contribution of different policies to emission reduction,and the cost of emission reduction.The results show that by 2060,the CO2 emissions equivalent of the power industry under the"dual carbon"scenario and the"business as usual"scenario will be 7.89 ×106 tons and 92.10 ×106 tons,respectively.Among them,the com-bined contribution of carbon reduction from clean power standards and power import and export policies will reach 94.5%.Based on the research results,this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions:1)Improve the system and mechanism,optimize the energy structure.2)Strengthen technological innovation and improve energy efficiency.3)Improve the market mechanism and strengthen publicity and education.It is expected to provide reference for promoting low-carbon development of Jiangxi power industry.

power industrycarbon emission reductionenergy policy modelJiangxi province

袁琳翰、蔡盛、钱立泽、刘沙沙、程凤、洪梓明

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九江市生态环境科学研究所,江西九江 332000

九江市生态环境预警应急管控中心,江西九江 332000

江西省科学院能源研究所,温室气体核算与碳减排江西省重点实验室,南昌 330096

江西省碳中和研究中心,南昌 330096

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电力行业 碳减排 能源政策模型 江西省

2024

能源研究与管理
江西省能源研究会 江西省科学院能源研究所 江西省经贸委节能技术中心

能源研究与管理

影响因子:0.207
ISSN:1005-7676
年,卷(期):2024.16(4)