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基于LEAP模型的零碳港口规划

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在碳达峰、碳中和背景下,港口作为对外开放的门户,需积极探索绿色低碳发展路径,实现港口"零碳化"的目标.基于某港口的活动数据,利用长期能源替代规划系统(LEAP)模型,为港口设定了基准情景、现有政策情景和零碳情景进行分析,模拟了3类情景下港口的能源消费情况与碳排放情况,在此基础上,进一步从新能源工程、节能提效工程等6个方面规划了具体的实施路径.结果表明:相较于基准情景与现有政策情景,零碳情景能进一步减少碳排放24 275、7 992 t.而要达到零碳情景的规划要求,港口应建设风光储一体化用能系统,实现绿电使用占比100%;采用节能灯具与10 kV高压供电等方式显著降低能耗水平;建设岸电30台,同时引入电动半挂车、电动抓料机等设备,实现港口"油改电""气改电"比例达到100%;在堆场附近挖掘收集污水的沟渠和调节沉淀池,同时与危废处理单位合作,实现资源的回收利用;增设环境监测设备与监控系统,并建设碳排放管理平台,提升港口能源和碳排放的监管水平;此外,购买碳信用1 860t来抵消余下的碳排放量.综合这些实施路径,零碳情景能帮助港口顺利实现"零碳化"目标.
Research on Zero Carbon Port Planning based on LEAP Model
In the context of carbon emission peak and carbon neutrality,as a gateway to the outside world,ports need to actively explore green and low-carbon development paths and achieve the goal of"zero carbon".Based on the activity data of a port and using the long-range energy alternatives planning system(LEAP)model,the baseline scenario,existing policy scenario and zero carbon scenario were set for the port for analysis,and the energy consumption and carbon emissions of the port under the three scenarios were simulated.On this basis,specific implementation paths were further planned in six aspects,such as new energy projects and energy saving and efficiency improvement projects.The results showed that compared with the baseline scenario and the existing policy scenario,the zero carbon scenario can further reduce carbon emissions by 24 275 t and 7 992 t.In order to meet the planning requirements of the zero carbon scenario,the port should build wind power,photovoltaic,energy storage and other energy systems to achieve 100%green electricity use.Energy-saving lamps and 10 kV high-voltage power supply should be used to significantly reduce energy consumption;Through the construction of 30 sets of shore power and the introduction of electric semitrailers,electric scrap handlers and other equipment,to achieve the port"oil to electricity","gas to electricity"ratio reached 100%.Excavating ditches and regulating sedimentation tanks for collecting sewage near the storage yard,and cooperating with hazardous waste treatment units to realize the recycling of resources.Environmental monitoring equipment,monitoring systems and carbon emission management platform should be built to improve the supervision level of port energy consumption and carbon emissions.In addition,1 860 tons of carbon credits should be purchased to offset the remaining carbon emissions.Combined with these implementation paths,the zero carbon scenario can help the port successfully achieve the"zero carbon"goal.

portzero carbonlong-range energy alternatives planning system(LEAP)modelscenario analysis

李刚、钱栋、骆跃军、杨铃涛、卓超凡

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中国电建集团江西省电力建设有限公司,南昌 330001

港口 零碳 LEAP模型 情景分析

2024

能源研究与管理
江西省能源研究会 江西省科学院能源研究所 江西省经贸委节能技术中心

能源研究与管理

影响因子:0.207
ISSN:1005-7676
年,卷(期):2024.16(4)