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新基建驱动农业经济韧性提升:理论机制与实证检验

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基于2011-2021年中国30个省份的面板数据,利用双向固定效应模型实证分析新基建对农业经济韧性的影响和作用机制.结果表明:新基建显著提升农业经济韧性,且主要是信息基建和创新基建产生赋能作用;机制检验发现,新基建可以通过促进农业技术进步和推动农业产业结构优化两个渠道提升农业经济韧性;异质性分析发现,对于东部、中部地区以及粮食主产区,新基建对农业经济韧性的促进效应更为显著;进一步分析发现,新基建对农业经济韧性的驱动作用呈现边际效益递增的网络效应.据此,建议积极推动技术接入和信息共享设施建设,加快构建现代化基础设施体系,鼓励农业积极应用新技术、新模式,扶持一批具有代表性的农业发展新业态,逐步强化农业现代化水平.
New infrastructure driving agricultural economic resilience:theoretical mechanism and empirical test
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021,the impact and working mechanism of new infrastructure on agricultural economic resilience are empirically analyzed by using a two-way fixed effect model.The results show that the new infrastructure,particularly the information infrastructure and innovation infrastructure,has significantly improved the resilience of the agricultural economy.The mechanism test indicates that the new infrastructure can improve the resilience of the agricultural economy by promoting the progress of agricultural technology and the optimization of the agricultural industrial structure.Heterogeneity analysis reveals that for the eastern region,the central region,and the main grain producing areas,the new infrastructure has a more significant promoting effect on the resilience of the agricultural economy.Further analysis shows that the driving effect of the new infrastructure on the resilience of the agricultural economy presents a network effect of increasing marginal benefits.Therefore,it is suggested to promote the construction of technology access and information sharing facilities,accelerate the construction of a modern infrastructure system,encourage agriculture to actively apply new technologies and models,and gradually strengthen the level of agricultural modernization.

new infrastructureagricultural economic resilienceadvances in agricultural technologyagricultural industrial structurenetwork effect

聂书承、王桂霞、钟凤英

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吉林农业大学 经济管理学院,吉林 长春 130118

东北林业大学 经济管理学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150040

新基建 农业经济韧性 农业技术进步 农业产业结构 网络效应

2025

农林经济管理学报
江西农业大学

农林经济管理学报

北大核心
影响因子:0.809
ISSN:1671-6523
年,卷(期):2025.24(1)