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莱芜近52年气候变化特征分析

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利用莱芜1957~2009年逐月气温、降水、初终霜日、无霜期、日照时数等气象资抖,采用线性方程、5年滑动平均、气候倾向率等方法,分析了莱芜近52年的气候变化特征,结果表明:52年来,莱芜气温在波动中呈现上升的趋势,气温升高主要发生在1990年以后,不同季节的气温升高速率不同,气候倾向率大小依次为冬季、春季、秋季、夏季;最近20年来,莱芜春、秋、冬三季增温迅速,暖冬趋势明显;极端最高气温下降,高温日数减少,极端最低气温的强度减弱,持续时间缩短,气温年较差减小,冬暖夏凉趋势明显加强;年降水量在波动中减少,20世纪90年代后降水量增加,夏季降水量的增多贡献最大;暴雨日数和强度急剧增加,极端强降水事件增加;年日照时数总体呈减少趋势,年际波动较大,21世纪初期的日照时数急剧减少,秋季日照时数的减少贡献最大.
Analysis on Climatic Change of Laiwu City in Recent 52 Years
According to the data of monthly average temperature, precipitation, first and latest frost date, frostless period, sunshine hours and so on in Laiwu city during 1957 ~2009, the author analyzed the climatic changeable feature of Laiwu in the recent 52 years by using linear equation, 5 -year moving-average and climatic tendency methods. The results showed that the temperature of Laiwu gradually increased in the recent 52 years and mainly increased after 1990s. The increasing rate of temperature in different seasous was different, there was the following order: winter > spring > autumn > summer. In the recent 20 years, the temperature of Laiwu increased rapidly in spring, autumn and especially in winter. Moreover, the extreme maximum temperature decreased, the number of high temperature days reduced, the intensity of extreme minimum temperature became weaker and its duration days decreased,annual temperature range decreased, winter became wanner and summer became colder. The precipitation decreased gradually but increased in the late 1990s especially in summer. The days and intensity of rainstorm increased sharply and extreme precipitation events increased. The annual sunshine hours decreased with large fluctuation and decreased sharply in the early 21 century especially in autumn.

王承军、王琪珍、卜庆雷

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山东省莱芜市气象局,山东,莱芜,271100

莱芜 气候变化 特征 分析

莱芜气候变化对生态环境及农业生产的影响研究

2009sdqxz22

2011

江西农业学报
江西省农业科学院 江西省农学会

江西农业学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.632
ISSN:1001-8581
年,卷(期):2011.23(2)
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