首页|基于灰色理论的农民收入影响因子研究——以陕西省为例

基于灰色理论的农民收入影响因子研究——以陕西省为例

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提高农民收入是乡村振兴工作的一项关键任务和重要指标,也是促进共同富裕这一国家战略目标的必然要求.以2012-2022年陕西省农业统计数据以及农民收入为切入点,选取农产品种植类、农产品养殖类、科技因素类、资源类、市场经济类、卫生服务类、交通运输类、其他类等8个一级指标及23个二级指标,利用灰色关联分析法对各个影响因子与农民收入间的关联度进行分析,并利用灰色预测模型对部分二级指标进行了预测分析.结果表明:农产品类、市场经济类指标与陕西省农民收入的关联程度最大,原煤产量以及科技因素类也对农民收入具有较强的影响力.陕西省作为农业大省,应充分发挥自身优势,因地制宜,大力发展"科技+农业"模式提高农民收入.
Research on Influencing Factors of Farmers'Income Based on Gray Theory:A Case Study of Shaanxi Province
Increasing farmers'income is a key task and an important indicator of rural revitalization,and it is also an inevitable requirement of the national strategic goal of promoting common prosperity.Based on the agricultural data and farmers'income in Shaanxi Province during 2012~2022,8 first-level indicators and 23 second-level indicators were selected from the agricultural product planting,agricultural product breeding,scientific and technological factors,resources,market economy,health services,transportation and other categories.The gray correlation analysis method was used to analyze the correlation between each influencing factor and farmers'income,and the gray prediction model was used to predict and analyze some of the secondary indicators.The results show that the indicators of agricultural products and market economy are the most closely related to farmers'income in Shaanxi Province,and the raw coal output and scientific and technological factors also have a strong influence,and Shaanxi Province.As a major agricultural province,Shaanxi should give full play to its advantages,adapt measures to local conditions,vigorously develop the model of"science and technology + agriculture"and increase farmers'income.

Farmers'incomeGrey correlation analysisGrey prediction model

颜文昊、龚可欣、宋馨逸、潘安

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西安财经大学 信息学院,陕西 西安 710100

农民收入 灰色关联分析 灰色预测模型

2024

江西农业学报
江西省农业科学院 江西省农学会

江西农业学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.632
ISSN:1001-8581
年,卷(期):2024.36(1)
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