物流产业链现代化水平的时空演进及收敛性研究
Research on the Spatiotemporal Evolution and Convergence of the Modernization Level of Logistics Industry Chain
王欢芳 1黄颖1
作者信息
- 1. 湖南工业大学 商学院,湖南 株洲 412007
- 折叠
摘要
产业链现代化作为建设现代化产业体系的重要内容,是构建新发展格局的迫切需要.基于2010-2021 年我国物流业省际面板数据,运用熵权-TOPSIS法测算物流产业链现代化发展水平,分别采用Kernel密度估计、空间Markov链、变异系数、空间计量模型探究物流产业链现代化水平的时空演进历程和收敛机制后发现:我国物流产业链现代化水平呈稳步上升态势;全国及东、中、西三大地区的物流产业链现代化水平绝对差异扩大;物流产业链现代化水平"路径依赖"较强,向更优类型转移态势较好;全国及三大地区均不存在σ收敛但存在β绝对和条件收敛.应认清地区间现代化发展水平差距,因地制宜发挥地区优势,努力发挥政府引领作用,激发市场资源配置潜力,重视地区间空间关联效应,发挥产业链在社会生产中的纽带功能.
Abstract
The modernization of industrial chains,as an important part of building a modern industrial system,is an urgent need to construct a new development pattern.Based on the inter-provincial panel data of China's logistics industry from 2010 to 2021,this study uses the entropy weight-TOPSIS method to measure the modernization level of the logistics industry chain.By employing Kernel density estimation,spatial Markov chains,coefficient of variation,and spatial econometric models,we explore the spatiotemporal evolution and convergence mechanism of the modernization level of the logistics industry chain.The findings reveal a steady upward trend in the modernization level of China's logistics industry chain.The absolute differences in the modernization levels of the logistics industry chain across the country and the eastern,central,and western regions have widened.The modernization level exhibits strong path dependence and a positive trend of shifting towards better types.While β convergence(both absolute and conditional)is observed at the national and regional levels,σ convergence is absent.We should recognize the gap in modernization development levels between regions,give full play to regional advantages according to local conditions,fully play the leading role of the government,stimulate the potential of market resource allocation,attach importance to the spatial correlation effects between regions,and harness the bridging function of industrial chain in social produc-tion.
关键词
物流产业链现代化/空间动态演进/空间Markov链/收敛性Key words
modernization of logistics industry chain/dynamic evolution of space/spatial Markov chains/con-vergence引用本文复制引用
出版年
2025
NETL
NSTL
万方数据