首页|居危则思安:宏观经济波动之下大学专业偏好的结构变迁

居危则思安:宏观经济波动之下大学专业偏好的结构变迁

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受全球经济下行影响,我国经济形势的不确定性显著增强,劳动力市场的供需矛盾与结构矛盾也随之凸显.在大学专业选择领域,宏观经济波动投射至升学者行为决策之中,会对其专业偏好产生深刻影响.在此背景下,本文建立了一个涵盖专业学科属性与职业路径在内的综合分析框架,基于 2017-2021 年"双一流"建设高校全国招生录取数据库,实证考察宏观经济波动之下大学专业偏好的结构变迁.研究发现,在经济信心受挫且劳动力市场不稳定的情境下,升学者对于体制亲和型专业的偏好显著抬升.与之相异,市场亲和型、就业路径多元型专业因缺少稳定职业预期和制度性保障,升学者对此类专业的偏好出现了显著下滑的态势.
Structural Changes in University Major Preferences under Macroeconomic Fluctuations
Affected by the global economic weakness and stagnation,China's economic downward pressure has significantly increased,leading to supply-demand and structural imbalances in the labor market.In the field of university major selection,macroeconomic fluctuations have a profound impact on students'behavioral decisions and their preferences for majors.Against this backdrop,this paper establishes a comprehensive analytical framework that includes the attributes of professional disciplines and career paths.Based on the national enrollment database of"Double First-Class"universities from 2017 to 2021,this paper empirically examines the structural changes in university major preferences under macroeconomic fluctuations.The study found that in the context of economic pessimism and labor market instability,students'preferences for majors with institutional affinity have significantly increased.Conversely,for majors with market affinity and diverse employment paths,due to the lack of stable career expectations and institutional safeguards,students'preferences have shown a significant downward trend.

university major preferencesmacroeconomic fluctuationslabor marketcareer pathsdisciplinary attributes

金红昊

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华中科技大学 教育科学研究院,武汉 430074

大学专业偏好 宏观经济波动 劳动力市场 职业路径 学科属性

湖北省社会科学基金重大项目华中科技大学"双一流"建设智库建设与社会服务能力提升项目

23ZD159

2024

教育与经济
华中师范大学,中国教育经济学研究会

教育与经济

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.183
ISSN:1003-4870
年,卷(期):2024.40(3)