基于复杂网络模型的施工安全事故致因研究
Research on the Causes of Construction Safety Accidents Based on Complex Network Model
周明悦 1秦旭阳 1张建荣 2张伟2
作者信息
- 1. 湖北省工程咨询股份有限公司,湖北 武汉 430064
- 2. 华中科技大学 土木与水利工程学院,湖北 武汉 430074
- 折叠
摘要
为充分识别建筑施工安全事故致因规律,利用复杂网络模型对建筑安全事故进行分析.根据系统思维提出了包含6个子系统和40个因素的事故致因系统;以1196份事故调查报告为数据,以致因因素和事故类型为节点,以关联规则得到的因素关联为边,以因素共现频数为边权,构建事故致因网络模型;通过复杂网络基本参数计算、节点重要程度分析,得到6项关键致因因素和3条关键致因链;通过案例分析对模型进行论证,并从工程实践的角度提出建议.
Abstract
To fully identify the causes of construction safety accidents,a complex network model was used to conduct the analysis.Firstly,an accident causal system with 6 subsystems and 40 factors was constructed based on system theory.Secondly,a network model of the causes of the accidents was constructed using 1196 accident investigation reports as data resources,causal factors and types of accidents as nodes,relationships between factors obtained by the association rule method as edges,and frequency of co-occurrence between factors as edges'weight.Thirdly,6 critical factors and 3 critical chains were obtained by calculating the basic parameters of the complex network and analyzing the importance of nodes.Finally,the model was demonstrated through case studies and suggestions were made from the perspective of engineering practice.
关键词
建筑施工安全/事故致因/系统思维/复杂网络Key words
construction safety/accident causes/system thinking/complex network引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家重点研发计划(十三五)(2017YFC0805500)
出版年
2024