首页|基于桥梁长期健康监测数据的时变可靠度分析与寿命预测

基于桥梁长期健康监测数据的时变可靠度分析与寿命预测

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考虑桥梁结构时变特性的可靠度分析为目前的研究热点,以香水河大桥为研究对象,提出基于时变特性的桥梁可靠度分析方法,运用现场实测的方法,对桥梁结构混凝土材料的应力指标进行监测,研究其分布规律并求解时变均值和时变标准差参数,得到材料的强度可靠度变化趋势,并采用蒙特卡洛方法对桥梁的剩余寿命进行预测.研究结果表明,所监测的桥梁结构应力服从正态分布,各个监测数据能够很好地分布在参考线附近;随着时间的增加,抗压强度可靠度指标呈线性降低,而抗拉强度的可靠度指标则呈现先降低后升高并趋于稳定的变化趋势;桥梁预测剩余寿命范围为65~85年,其平均剩余寿命为75.5 年.
TIME-VARYING RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND LIFE PREDICTION BASED ON LONG-TERM BRIDGE HEALTH MONITORING DATA
Considering the reliability analysis of time-varying characteristics of bridge structures as a current research focus,the Fuhua River Bridge is taken as the research object,and a bridge reliability analysis method based on time-varying characteristics is proposed.The stress index of concrete materials of bridge structures is monitored by field measurement,its distribution law is studied,and time-varying mean value and time-varying standard deviation parameters are solved.The variation trend of strength reliability of the material is obtained,and the remaining life of the bridge is predicted by Monte Carlo method.The results show that the monitored stress of the bridge structure follows normal distribution,and the monitoring data can be well distributed near the reference line.With the increase of time,the reliability index of compressive strength decreases linearly,while the reliability index of tensile strength decreases first and then increases and tends to be stable.The predicted remaining life of Bridges ranges from 65 to 85 years,with an average remaining life of 75.5 years.

bridge engineeringhealth monitoringtime-varying reliabilitylife prediction

毕高波、刘普、李冬冬、解峥

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威海市公路事业发展中心,山东威海 264200

中交第二航务工程局有限公司,武汉 457500

哈尔滨工业大学重庆研究院,重庆 401120

哈尔滨合正科技有限公司,哈尔滨 150028

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桥梁工程 健康监测 时变可靠度 寿命预测

2024

建筑技术开发
北京市建筑工程研究院

建筑技术开发

影响因子:0.351
ISSN:1001-523X
年,卷(期):2024.51(2)
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