Predicting the suitable regions of Propylea japonica in China under current and future climate
In this study,we used the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS software with 101 distribution points and 6 environmental factors to predict the potential distribution of Propylea japonica in China under the current and future climate.The results were as follows:Mean of monthly(max temperature-min temperature)(3.11～9.27℃),mean temperature of warmest quarter(25.65～36.61 ℃)and precipitation of wettest month(154.85～999.60 mm)were the main environmental factors affecting and suiting the distribution of P.japonica.Compared with the current climate,the area of unsuitable regions will have different degrees of decrease,and poorly,moderately,highly suitable regions will have various levels of increase under the 12 climate scenarios of future climate.The area of highly suitable regions showed the largest increase under 2090SSP5-8.5 climate scenario(102.55 × 104 km2),new increased regions included Zhejiang,Shandong,Heilongjiang,Jilin,Liaoning Provinces,etc.The results showed that P.japonica will expand its distribution regions northwards and have further increase in southern China with the increased temperature in the future.P.japonica is an important natural enemy with great predation to multiple agricultural pests.The increased area of suitable regions in the future indicates that we can more easily utilize them to control pests.
Propylea japonicaMaxEntenvironmental factorscurrent climatefuture climatepotential distribution
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
