首页|人工智能是否促进碳解锁效率?——基于技术与制度约束的门槛效应研究

人工智能是否促进碳解锁效率?——基于技术与制度约束的门槛效应研究

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随着全球对气候变化问题关注的日益增加,探究人工智能(Artificial Intelligence,AI)在促进碳解锁效率方面的潜力变得尤为重要.本研究以中国30个省市2012至2021年的面板数据为对象,构建了人工智能发展水平的评价体系和碳解锁效率的评价指标,采用熵权法和超效率SBM-GML模型分别测算了人工智能指数和碳解锁效率值,利用双固定模型和门槛回归模型分析了AI对碳解锁效率的影响以及环境规制和技术创新水平的门槛效应.结果显示,AI通过转变生产方式、优化产业结构和提升环境治理效率,显著提升了碳解锁效率;环境规制和技术创新水平对AI的影响存在显著的门槛效应,表明适度的环境规制和技术创新是促进AI实现碳解锁效率提升的关键.本研究为理解AI在促进绿色低碳转型中的作用提供了新的理论和实证支持,也为政策制定者在制定相关政策时提供了依据.
Does Artificial Intelligence Promote Carbon Unlocking Efficiency?——A Study of Threshold Effects Based on Technological and Institutional Constraints
With the increasing global concern about climate change,it has become particularly important to explore the potential of Artificial Intelligence(AI)in promoting carbon release efficiency.This study constructed an evaluation system for the development level of AI and an evaluation index for carbon release efficiency based on panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021.The entropy weight method and the super-efficient SBM-GML model were used to measure the AI index and carbon release efficiency values,respectively,and the double-fixed model and the threshold regression model were used to analyze the impact of AI on the carbon unlocking efficiency and the threshold effects of environmental regulation and technological innovation level.The results showed that AI significantly improves carbon unlocking efficiency by transforming production methods,optimising industrial structure and improving environmental governance efficiency;there is a significant threshold effect of the level of environmental regulation and technological innovation on the impact of AI,indicating that moderate environmental regulation and technological innovation are the key to promoting AI to achieve carbon unlocking efficiency improvement.This study provides new theoretical and empirical support for understanding the role of AI in promoting green and low-carbon transformation,and also provides a basis for policymakers in formulating relevant policies.

Artificial Intelligencecarbon unlocking efficiencyenvironmental regulationtechnological innovationthreshold regression modelling

黄辉

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福建师范大学协和学院 福州 350117

人工智能 碳解锁效率 环境规制 技术创新 门槛回归模型

2022年福建省教育厅科技类特设项目2022年福建省教育厅社科类一般项目

JAT220520JAS22249

2024

科技促进发展
中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所 中国高技术产业发展促进会

科技促进发展

影响因子:0.629
ISSN:1672-996X
年,卷(期):2024.20(5)
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