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黄河流域农业经济韧性评价及障碍因素分析

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厘清农业经济韧性的内在特征及影响因素,对推动农业高质量发展具有重要意义.以黄河流域为例,利用熵值法、障碍度模型等方法评价2012-2021年农业经济韧性.结果表明:黄河流域农业经济韧性总体呈上升趋势,空间差异特征显著,其中,山东、河南表现最好,甘肃、宁夏有待提升;农业经济韧性差距逐渐扩大,差异主要源于区域内差异;财政支农力度、农村消费能力、第一产业占比为当前影响黄河流域农业经济韧性的主要障碍因子.因此,应加强财政支农力度,优化农业产业结构,推动农业经济韧性协调发展.
Evaluation of Agricultural Economic Resilience and Analysis of Its Obstacle Factors in the Yellow River Basin
It is of great significance to clarify the intrinsic characteristics and influencing factors of agricultural economic resilience to promote the high-quality development of agriculture.Taking the Yellow River Basin as an example,the entropy value method and obstacle degree model were used to evaluate the resilience of agricultural economy from 2012 to 2021.The results shows that the resilience of agricultural economy in the Yellow River Basin show an overall upward trend,with significant spatial differences,among which Shandong and Henan performed the best,while Gansu and Ningxia is needed to be improved.The gap in agricultural economic resilience is gradually widening,and the differences are mainly due to regional differences.The intensity of fiscal support for agriculture,rural consumption capacity,and the proportion of primary industry are the main obstacles affecting the resilience of agricultural economy in the Yellow River Basin.Therefore,it is necessary to strengthen fiscal support for agriculture,optimize the structure of agricultural industry,and promote the resilient and coordinated development of agricultural economy.

agricultural economic resilienceYellow River Basinobstacle factor

宋鑫如、周子楚、周霞

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山东农业大学经济管理学院,山东泰安 271018

山东大学经济学院,济南 250100

农业经济韧性 黄河流域 障碍因子

国家社会科学基金国家社会科学基金山东省高等学校青年创新团队发展计划

19BGJ17121BJY130

2024

科技和产业
中国技术经济学会

科技和产业

影响因子:0.361
ISSN:1671-1807
年,卷(期):2024.24(9)
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