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经济发展视角下产业结构优化对中国碳排放的影响

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从经济发展视角探究产业结构优化对碳排放的影响效应,有利于中国经济绿色低碳发展.选取2006-2021年全国30个省份(因数据缺失,未包含西藏地区和港澳台地区)的面板数据,基于STRIPAT模型,运用门槛模型,并将产业结构优化划分成产业结构合理化和高级化两个方面,从经济发展角度对产业结构优化与碳排放的关系进行研究.研究表明,产业结构合理化和高级化均对碳排放有显著的抑制作用;经济发展水平使产业结构优化对碳排放存在单门槛效应,当经济发展水平跨过门槛值时能够增强产业结构合理化对碳排放的抑制作用,但弱化了产业结构高级化对碳减排的作用效果.
Impact of Industrial Structure Optimization on China's Carbon Emissions from the Perspective of Economic Development
Exploring the impact of industrial structure optimization on carbon emissions from the perspective of economic development is conducive to the green and low-carbon development of China's economy.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(due to the lack of data,the statistical data mentioned here do not include the Tibet Autonomous Region,the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,the Macao Special Administrative Region and Taiwan Province)in China from 2006 to 2021,the relationship between industrial structure optimization and carbon emissions from the perspective of economic development was studied by using the threshold model and dividing industrial structure optimization into two aspects of rationalization and upgrading.The research shows that both the rationalization of industrial structure and the upgrading of industrial structure have significant inhibitory effects on carbon emissions.The level of economic development makes the optimization of industrial structure have a single threshold effect on carbon emissions.When the level of economic development crosses the threshold,it can enhance the inhibition of industrial structure rationalization on carbon emissions,but weaken the effect of industrial structure upgrading on carbon emissions reduction.

carbon emissionrationalization of industrial structureadvanced industrial structureeconomic development level

赵婷婷、姚婷

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南京邮电大学经济学院,南京 210000

南京邮电大学地理与生物信息学院,南京 210000

碳排放 产业结构合理化 产业结构高级化 经济发展水平

2024

科技和产业
中国技术经济学会

科技和产业

影响因子:0.361
ISSN:1671-1807
年,卷(期):2024.24(12)