首页|人口老龄化对经济高质量发展影响的空间效应——基于省级面板数据

人口老龄化对经济高质量发展影响的空间效应——基于省级面板数据

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选取2012-2022年省级面板数据,运用定基极差熵权法、空间计量模型和时空地理加权回归模型分析人口老龄化对经济高质量发展的空间影响效应.研究结果表明:从全国层面来看,人口老龄化不仅促进了本地区经济高质量发展,同时对周边地区也有正向空间溢出效应;人口老龄化对经济高质量发展的影响效应存在区域异质性,东南沿海和中南部地区表现为促进作用,西部和北部地区表现为抑制作用,并且呈现出很强的空间集聚特征.
Spatial Effect of the Impact of Population Aging on High-quality Economic Development:Based on the Provincial Panel Data
Selecting the provincial panel data from 2012 to 2022,the spatial influence effect of population aging on economic high-quality development is analyzed by using the fixed-base extreme difference entropy weighting method,spatial econometric model,and spatio-temporal geographically weighted regression model.The results show that from the national level,population aging not only promotes the high-quality development of the region's economy,but also has positive spatial spillover effects on the neighboring regions.There is regional heterogeneity in the impact of population aging on high-quality economic development,with the southeast coastal and south-central regions showing a facilitating effect,and the western and northern regions showing an inhibiting effect,as well as a strong spatial clustering characteristic.

population aginghigh quality economic developmentbase difference entropy weight methodspatial measurement modelspatiotemporal geographic weighted regression model

曾强、李琼

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吉首大学商学院,湖南吉首 416000

人口老龄化 经济高质量发展 定基极差熵权法 空间计量模型 时空地理加权回归模型

湖南省教育厅重点项目湖南省研究生科研创新项目湖南省研究生科研创新项目湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会重点课题

22A0372CX20221099CX20231062XSP24ZDI014

2024

科技和产业
中国技术经济学会

科技和产业

影响因子:0.361
ISSN:1671-1807
年,卷(期):2024.24(13)
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