低碳转型对劳动力就业的影响——基于低碳城市试点政策的准自然实验
Impact of Low-carbon Transition on Labor Employment:A Quasi-natural Experiment Based on Pilot Policies for Low-carbon Cities
高雅琪 1李爽2
作者信息
- 1. 西安财经大学统计学院,西安 710000
- 2. 西安财经大学数学学院,西安 710000
- 折叠
摘要
围绕双碳目标背景下的低碳城市试点政策,探讨其对劳动力就业的影响.采用2001-2021年中国283个地级市的数据,运用倾向性得分匹配法和渐进双重差分法,分析低碳转型对劳动就业的综合影响.结果显示,低碳转型对第一产业就业没有显著影响,但显著提升了总就业和第二、三产业的就业.此外,还发现中国经济与环境的关系处于环境库兹涅茨曲线的前半部分,且存在较高的碳排放一就业弹性.这表明低碳转型既带来就业机会,也带来劳动力市场的挑战.因此,提出应积极推动产业转型升级,强化技术创新和应用,平衡经济发展与环境保护,以及加强劳动力市场的适应性和保护机制.
Abstract
The impact of low-carbon city pilot policies under the dual carbon goals on labor employment were explored.Utilizing data from 283 Chinese cities from 2001 to 2021,propensity score matching and progressive difference-in-differences methods were applied to analyze the comprehensive impact of low-carbon transition on employment.The findings indicate that while low-carbon transition does not significantly affect employment in the primary industry,it notably enhances overall employment,and the employment in the secondary and tertiary industries.Furthermore,it reveals that China's economic and environmental relationship is in the first half of the EKC curve,with a high carbon emission-employment elasticity.Suggestions that low-carbon transition presents both opportunities and challenges in the labor market are put forward.Therefore,it is recommended to actively promote industrial transformation and upgrading,strengthen technological innovation and application,balance economic development with environmental protection,and enhance the adaptability and protection mechanisms of the labor market.
关键词
低碳转型/劳动力就业/产业转型Key words
low-carbon transition/labor employment/industrial transformation引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据