首页|绿色金融对中国循环经济发展的影响——基于中介效应与门槛效应的实证分析

绿色金融对中国循环经济发展的影响——基于中介效应与门槛效应的实证分析

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发展循环经济是实现"双碳"目标、解决生态环境问题的重要途径.绿色金融是推动循环经济发展的重要工具和手段.基于2009-2021年省级面板数据,运用固定效应模型和中介效应模型实证分析绿色金融对循环经济发展的直接和间接影响,进一步利用门槛效应模型探究绿色金融对循环经济发展的非线性影响.研究结果表明:绿色金融显著促进循环经济发展,经过一系列稳健性检验,结论依然成立;在中介效应上,绿色金融通过抑制碳排放促进循环经济发展;在门槛效应上,绿色金融对循环经济发展的影响存在经济发展水平的双门槛效应;当经济发展水平跨越某一门槛值时,绿色金融对循环经济发展影响呈现出"边际效应递增"趋势.
Impact of Green Finance on the Development of Circular Economy in China:An Empirical Analysis Based on Mediating and Threshold Effect
The development of circular economy is an important way to achieve China's"double carbon"goal and solve ecological and environmental problems.Green finance is an important tool and means to promote the development of circular economy.Based on provincial panel data from 2009 to 2021,the direct and indirect impacts of green finance on the development of circular economy are empirically analyzed by using the fixed effect model and the mediating effect model,and the nonlinear impact of green finance on the development of circular economy is further explored by using the threshold effect model.The results show that green finance significantly promotes the development of circular economy,and after a series of robustness tests,the conclusion is still valid.In terms of mediating effect,green finance promotes the development of circular economy by curbing carbon emissions.In terms of threshold effect,the impact of green finance on the development of circular economy has a double threshold effect of economic development level.When the level of economic development crosses a certain threshold,the impact of green finance on the development of circular economy shows a trend of"increasing marginal effect".

green financecircular economymediating effectthreshold effect

梁丽花

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广州华商学院金融学院,广州 511300

绿色金融 循环经济 中介效应 门槛效应

2024

科技和产业
中国技术经济学会

科技和产业

影响因子:0.361
ISSN:1671-1807
年,卷(期):2024.24(17)
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