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消费升级、政企合作与产能过剩

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促进消费升级对有效化解低端技术投资潮涌所导致的中国式产能过剩具有重要的现实意义.基于政企合作视角,采用工业面板数据和广义矩估计方法(GMM)并利用省级面板数据对消费升级抑制产能过剩的研究假说进行了实证检验.结果表明:消费升级有效地抑制了产能过剩.这一结论在考虑潜在的内生性问题以及进行一系列的稳健性检验后均成立.进一步,机制检验表明,消费升级通过政企合作的渠道阻止企业选择低端技术生产,进而抑制产能过剩.以上结论为中国化解产能过剩提供了一定的理论参考和现实依据.
Consumption Upgrading,Government-enterprise Cooperation and Overcapacity
Promoting consumption upgrading is of great practical significance in effectively resolving the China-style overcapacity caused by the surge of low-end technology investment.Based on the perspective of government-enterprise cooperation,industrial panel data,generalized moment estimation(GMM)and panel data were used to empirically test the research hypothesis of consumption upgrading to inhibit overcapacity.The results show that consumption upgrading effectively inhibits overcapacity.This conclusion holds after considering potential endogeneity problems and a series of robustness tests.Further,the mechanism test shows that consumption upgrading prevents enterprises from choosing low-end technology production through the channel of government and enterprise cooperation,thus curbing overcapacity.A certain theoretical reference and practical basis for resolving overcapacity in China are provided.

consumption upgradinggovernment-enterprise cooperationovercapacitylow end technology locking

夏飞龙、夏宇

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云南师范大学经济与管理学院,昆明 650500

山西财经大学经济学院,太原 030012

消费升级 政企合作 产能过剩 低端技术锁定

2024

科技和产业
中国技术经济学会

科技和产业

影响因子:0.361
ISSN:1671-1807
年,卷(期):2024.24(18)