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基于AHP-熵权法和模糊评价法的民航机场在建工程静态风险体系

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基于人、机、环、管4个方面,识别民航机场在建工程存在的工料机的配置、地质情况、气候情况、参与主体、施工进度、不停航施工等23项风险因素.根据识别的风险因素,构建民航机场在建工程的风险评价体系.运用层次分析法和熵权法进行定量分析,结合模糊评价法以长沙机场改扩建项目为例进行定量分析和实例验证,所得结果与实际获奖情况相符.研究表明该静态风险体系较为可行,可为民航机场建设者在施工过程中的风险识别和风险评价提供依据和参考.
Static Risk System of Civil Aviation Airport Project under Construction Based on AHP-entropy Weight Method and Fuzzy Evaluation Method
Based on four aspects of man,machine,environment and pipe,23 risk factors such as the configuration of workloads,geological conditions,climate conditions,participants,construction progress and non-stop construction of civil aviation airport are identified.According to the identified risk factors,the risk evaluation system of civil aviation airport construction is constructed.The analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method are used for quantitative analysis,and the fuzzy evaluation method is combined with the quantitative analysis and case verification of Changsha Airport reconstruction and expansion project.The results obtained are consistent with the actual award situation,and the research shows that the static risk system is feasible.It provides the basis and reference for the risk identification and risk evaluation in the construction process of civil aviation airport.

civil aviation airport constructionrisk assessmenthierarchical analysisentropy weight methodfuzzy mathematics

董嘉成、沈大娟

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沈阳航空航天大学安全工程学院,沈阳 110136

民航机场建设 风险评价 层次分析 熵权法 模糊数学

2024

科技和产业
中国技术经济学会

科技和产业

影响因子:0.361
ISSN:1671-1807
年,卷(期):2024.24(19)