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新质战斗力背景下大模型赋能国防科技创新路径预测研究

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[目的/意义]国防科技创新助力新质战斗力发展已成为我国战略需求,有效预测国防科技创新路径对于切实提高国防科技创新能力、打造我国新质战斗力具有重要意义。[方法/过程]针对国防科技创新突变性、不确定性与高风险性特征,文章根据国防科技创新路径预测核心要素,构建大模型赋能国防科技创新路径预测逻辑框架,利用军事需求识别、军工企业关键技术预测与创新政策挖掘子模型,对国防科技创新路径预测进行理论分析。[结果/结论]研究发现,大模型能够有效预测国防科技的发展趋势和关键技术突破点,为国防科技创新决策提供科学依据,切实推动新质生产力与新质战斗力深度融合。
Forecasting Innovation Pathways in National Defense-Related Science and Technology Based on Foundation Model
[Purpose/significance]The innovation of national defense-related science and technology promoting the de-velopment of new-quality fighting capacity has become a national strategic demand,effectively forecasting innovation pathways in national defense-related science and technology is of great significance to improve the innovation capabil-ity of national defense-related science and technology and create the Chinese new quality fighting capacity.[Method/process]In view of characteristics of the innovation of national defense-related science and technology,i.e.mutabili-ty,uncertainty and high risk,this thesis constructs a logical framework of forecasting innovation pathway in national defense-related science and technology based on the theoretical analysis of the core elements of forecasting innova-tion path,and adopts three submodels i.e.identification of military needs,prediction of key technologies and mining of supportive policies to forecast innovation pathway in national defense-related science and technology.[Result/conclu-sion]The research results show that the foundation model can effectively predict the development trend of national de-fense-related science and technology and key technological break throughs,which provide scientific basis for the de-cision-making of innovation of national defense-related science and technology and effectively promote the integra-tion of the new quality productivity and the new quality fighting capacity.

new quality fighting capacityfoundation modelinnovation of national defense-related science and tech-nologyforecasting innovation pathways

段雨竺、付强、李玉琼

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湖南师范大学教育科学学院,长沙 410081

南华大学经济管理与法学学院,衡阳 421001

湖南工学院湖南省开放型经济研究基地,衡阳 421001

中国刑事警察学院,沈阳 110854

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新质战斗力 大模型 国防科技创新 创新路径预测

2025

科技情报研究

科技情报研究

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2025.7(1)