科技与经济2024,Vol.37Issue(1) :91-95.

双重异质性视角下城市群经济韧性的演化特征及其影响机制研究——以长三角为例

Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Mechanism of Economic Resilience of Urban Agglomeration from the Perspective of Double Heterogeneity——Taking Yangtze River Delta as An Example

刘程军 张君婷 陈展驰 舒季君
科技与经济2024,Vol.37Issue(1) :91-95.

双重异质性视角下城市群经济韧性的演化特征及其影响机制研究——以长三角为例

Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Mechanism of Economic Resilience of Urban Agglomeration from the Perspective of Double Heterogeneity——Taking Yangtze River Delta as An Example

刘程军 1张君婷 2陈展驰 2舒季君2
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作者信息

  • 1. 浙江工业大学经济学院,杭州 310023;浙江工业大学之江学院,浙江 绍兴 312030
  • 2. 浙江工业大学经济学院,杭州 310023
  • 折叠

摘要

基于双重异质性视角,分析 2007-2020 年长三角 41 个城市经济韧性的演化特征及其影响机制.研究表明:长三角城市群不同阶段的经济韧性空间差异显著,且冷热点聚集区域出现了组团式动态转换;面对外来冲击时,固定投资、产业多样化、国企对经济韧性解释力较强,而出口贸易解释力波动较大;在结构调整期时,固定投资对经济韧性支撑作用减弱,三产占比、财政支撑、技术创新及人力资本水平的提高加速了产业结构升级,提高中长期经济韧性;政府通过塑造产业结构及改善技术等要素错配程度影响经济韧性.

Abstract

From the perspective of double heterogeneity,this paper analyzes the evolution characteristics and influencing mechanisms of economic resilience of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 2007 to 2020.The results indicate that the economic resilience of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration at different stages presented spatial differences,and the cluster of hot and cold spots had a dy-namic transformation.When faced with external shocks,fixed investment,industrial diversification and the proportion of state-owned enterprises can give a much more convincing explanation,while the export trade has a large fluctuation.During the period of structural adjustment,the supporting role of fixed investment for economic resilience was reduced,however,the improvement of the proportion of three industries,financial support,technological innovation and human capital level accelerated the upgrading of industrial structure,thus improving economic resilience of the region in the medium and long run.Government management affects regional economic resili-ence through shaping industrial structure and improving the mismatch degree of technology and other factors.

关键词

长三角城市群/区域经济韧性/双重异质性/影响机制

Key words

Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration/regional economic resilience/double heterogeneity/influencing mechanism

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基金项目

浙江省高校重大人文社会科学攻关计划项目(2021QN052)

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(22YJC790073)

国家社会科学基金(19BGL175)

浙江省哲学社会科学规划项目(22NDJC056YB)

浙江省新苗人才项目(2022R403B067)

出版年

2024
科技与经济
南京市科技信息研究所

科技与经济

影响因子:0.528
ISSN:1003-7691
参考文献量10
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