科技与经济2024,Vol.37Issue(5) :11-15.

碳排放治理机制系统博弈仿真研究

Research on System Game Simulation of Carbon Emission Governance Mechanism

尹剑 丁乙 姜洪涛 夏芮兹
科技与经济2024,Vol.37Issue(5) :11-15.

碳排放治理机制系统博弈仿真研究

Research on System Game Simulation of Carbon Emission Governance Mechanism

尹剑 1丁乙 2姜洪涛 2夏芮兹2
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作者信息

  • 1. 贵州财经大学应用经济学院,贵阳 550025;贵州财经大学西部现代化研究中心,贵阳 550025
  • 2. 贵州财经大学应用经济学院,贵阳 550025
  • 折叠

摘要

研究以贵州为例,运用系统动力学方法构建政府、企业、公众三方演化博弈模型,综合碳排放水平、博弈三方收益情况、社会参与程度三方面构建评价体系,探讨影响策略选择的关键因素,对不同均衡点和不同影响因素对应的政策方案进行仿真,进而构建碳排放治理机制.结果表明:高能耗罚款、声誉损失、低碳生产成本、政府监管成本、政府补贴、公众参与政府奖励是关键影响因素.其中,高能耗罚款可以最大程度减轻生态压力,降低政府监管成本,综合优于其他政策方案.结合关键影响因素,研究从约束机制、市场机制、监督机制、激励机制4 方面构建了碳排放治理的决策支持策略,从而为生态环境脆弱性地区的低碳发展提供了治理思路.

Abstract

This study took Guizhou Province as an example and employed a system dynamics approach to construct a tripartite evolu-tionary game model involving the government,enterprises,and the public.By integrating carbon emission levels,the benefits for all three parties,and the degree of societal involvement,the study established an evaluation framework to investigate the critical influen-cing factors affecting strategic choices.The study conducted simulations on different equilibrium points and corresponding policy schemes tied to various influencing factors to formulate a carbon emission governance mechanism.The findings reveal that high energy consumption fines,reputation loss,low-carbon production costs,government regulatory expenses,government subsidies,and public participation incentives are key influencing factors.Notably,imposing high energy consumption fines can significantly alleviate ecologi-cal pressures,and reduce government regulatory costs better than other policy options.Combined with the key influencing factors,the research constructed the decision support strategy of carbon emission governance from four aspects:constraint mechanism,market mechanism,supervision mechanism and incentive mechanism,so as to provide governance ideas for low-carbon development in areas with fragile ecological environment.

关键词

系统动力学/演化博弈/贵州省/碳排放治理机制/政策仿真

Key words

system dynamics/evolutionary game/Guizhou Province/carbon emission governance mechanism/policy simulation

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基金项目

贵州省高校人文社会科学研究项目(2024RW321)

出版年

2024
科技与经济
南京市科技信息研究所

科技与经济

影响因子:0.528
ISSN:1003-7691
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