首页|环境风险对商业银行信用风险的影响研究——区分绿色、棕色行业的压力测试分析

环境风险对商业银行信用风险的影响研究——区分绿色、棕色行业的压力测试分析

A Study on the Impact of Environmental Risk on Commercial Banks'Credit Risk——Stress Test Analysis Distinguishing Green and Brown Industries

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对绿色、棕色行业以及银行类型进行划分,综合考虑碳价变化、碳减排技术应用、政府补贴和价格转移等因素,构建气候环境风险冲击模型,对我国20 家商业银行进行了压力测试,评估了气候环境风险对商业银行信用风险的影响,进一步分析了行业和银行的异质性.结果显示:气候环境风险对棕色行业的冲击明显大于绿色行业,通过价格转移方式和国家绿色补贴可以缓解不同类型行业所受的影响;不同类型商业银行面临的气候环境风险相关的贷款价值损失具有异质性特征,损失大小与信贷投放的数量和行业分布状况息息相关;不同类型商业银行在受到气候环境风险冲击时,贷款价值损失占核心一级资本的比率存在显著差距,其中,国有银行的损失比率最高.
This article provides a detailed classification of green and brown industries,as well as types of banks.Taking into account factors such as changes in carbon prices,application of carbon reduction technologies,government subsidies,and price transfers,a climate and environmental risk impact model was constructed.Stress tests were conducted on 20 commercial banks in China,and the impact of climate and environmental risks on their credit risk was evaluated.Furthermore,the heterogeneity of industries and banks was analyzed.The results show that the impact of climate and environmental risks on brown industries is significantly greater than that on green industries,while price transfer methods and national green subsidies can alleviate the impact on different types of industries.In addition,the loan value losses related to climate and environmental risks faced by different types of commercial banks have heterogene-ous characteristics,and the size of the losses is closely related to the quantity and industry distribution of credit disbursement.Mean-while,there is a significant difference in the ratio of loan value loss to core tier one capital among different types of commercial banks when impacted by climate and environmental risks,with state-owned banks having the highest loss ratio.

stress testcredit risksenvironmental riskscommercial bankscarbon finance

文淑惠、赵艳琦

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昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,昆明 650500

压力测试 信用风险 环境风险 商业银行 碳金融

2024

科技与经济
南京市科技信息研究所

科技与经济

影响因子:0.528
ISSN:1003-7691
年,卷(期):2024.37(6)