广西农业与旅游业融合发展研究
Research on the Integrated Development of Agriculture and Tourism in Guangxi
罗金连1
作者信息
摘要
农业和旅游业融合逐渐成为我国欠发达地区经济增长的新趋势.基于1999-2019年广西农业总产值和国内外旅游收入的数据构建了向量误差修正模型.通过协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和方差分解等多种统计方法对广西在农业和旅游业方面的发展进行实证分析.结果表明:农业总产值、国内旅游收入与旅游外汇收入之间没有明显的双向因果关系,但随着时间的推移,广西的农业总产值与旅游业之间的相互影响逐渐增强.
Abstract
The integration of agriculture and tourism has increasingly become a new trend for economic growth in underdeveloped areas of China.This paper constructs a Vector Error Correction Model(VECM)based on the data of the total agricultural output and domestic and international tourism income in Guangxi from 1999 to 2019.Through Cointegration Test,Granger Causality Test,and Variance Decomposition,an empirical analysis of Guangxi's development in agriculture and tourism is conducted.The results indicate that there is no significant bidi-rectional causality between total agricultural output,domestic tourism income,and foreign exchange earnings from tourism.Moreover,the mutual influence between Guangxi's agricultural output and the tourism industry has gradu-ally increased over time.
关键词
农业/旅游业/VEC模型/协整检验/格兰杰因果检验Key words
Agriculture/Tourism/VEC model/Cointegration Test/Granger causality test引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据