Evolutionary Game Analysis of Green Speculation in Characteristic Agricultural Product Supply Chain
The proliferation of speculative behavior is still one of the challenges that hinder the green construction of characteristic agricultural product supply chains and threaten the quality and safety of agricultural products.Existing research mostly focuses on exploring rewards and punishments or distribution of benefits through a dual subject approach,lacking consideration of the balancing relationship and rights and responsibilities among multiple subjects.Therefore,further clarifying the evolutionary mechanism and influencing factors of behavior among multiple entities is of great significance for reducing green speculation in the supply chain and achieving the goal of green transformation of characteristic agricultural product supply chains.The study is based on the data of characteristic wheat in Jingtai County of Baiyin City in Shandong Province in 2023,and uses the evolutionary game method to construct a tripartite dynamic evolutionary game model with the government,agricultural enterprises,and farmers as the main bodies.It analyzes the strategic choices and system stability of each party,and explores the impact of each element on the decision-making of the main body.The results indicate that:(1)the production and manufacturing process is related to product quality and safety,and is a key focus of green construction in the supply chain.(2)Green input-output affects the willingness of the main body to build,and cost reduction and income increase should be promoted to promote green construction of the supply chain.(3)Unclear rights and responsibilities lead to the proliferation of speculative behavior,and clear and standardized division of rights and responsibilities is necessary for green construction of the supply chain.(4)Diversified construction forces with different goals should cooperate and achieve a win-win situation to achieve green transformation of the supply chain.
characteristic agricultural productsgreen supply chaingreen speculationevolutionary game