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人口老龄化对碳排放绩效的影响效应研究

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基于全国30省2011-2020 年面板数据测度碳排放绩效,并构建门槛效应模型探究人口老龄化与碳排放绩效的关系,并通过PSM-DID稳健性检验以增强门槛效应结果可信度.实证结果表明:(1)人口老龄化对碳排放绩效有正向影响,且存在门槛效应;(2)城镇化率作为门槛变量,发现其存在单门槛效应,并跨越门槛值后促进效应显著增加;(3)东部地区人口老龄化对碳排放绩效产生正向作用,而中西部地区人口老龄化对碳排放绩效具有抑制作用.
Research on the Impact of Population Aging on Carbon Emission Performance
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2011 to 2020,the threshold effect model was constructed to explore the relationship between population aging and carbon emission performance,and passed the PSM-DID robustness test to enhance the credibility of the threshold effect results.The empirical results show that:(1)The population aging has a positive impact on carbon emission performance,and there is a threshold effect;(2)The urbanization rate as the threshold variable has a single threshold effect and increases significantly after crossing the threshold value;(3)The population aging in the eastern region has a positive effect on carbon emission performance,while the population aging in the central and western regions suppresses carbon emission performance.

agingcarbon performanceundesired super-efficient SBM modelthreshold effect model

王丽霞、王艺、兰雅新、张佳瑛

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山西财经大学公共管理学院

山西财经大学财政与公共经济学院

山西财经大学资源环境学院

老龄化 碳排放绩效 非期望超效率SBM模型 门槛效应模型

山西省哲学社会科学年度一般课题

2022YY081

2024

科学决策
中国社会经济系统分析研究会,国家信息中心国际信息研究所,中国航天科技集团总公司710所

科学决策

CSSCICHSSCD
影响因子:1.104
ISSN:1006-4885
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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