首页|数字经济对居民消费信贷的影响研究——基于省级面板数据的检验

数字经济对居民消费信贷的影响研究——基于省级面板数据的检验

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探究数字经济对居民消费信贷的潜在影响,对有效利用消费信贷推动消费市场的恢复和扩宽具有重要意义.基于2012-2022年中国29个省域面板数据,实证分析了数字经济对居民消费信贷发展的作用.结果显示:数字经济可以显著促进居民消费信贷增长.在使用工具变量法对其进行内生性检验以及采用稳健标准误等稳健性检验方法后,结论仍成立.机制分析指出,社会消费水平、人均可支配收入和金融科技水平是数字经济发展促进居民消费信贷的媒介.异质性研究显示,在东部地区以及金融发展水平较高的地区和技术市场发展较发达的地区,数字经济的催化效应更强.因此,建议应加强数字经济消费引导、建设数字化金融服务平台吸引消费者进入居民消费信贷市场.
Research on the Impact of Digital Economy on Residents'Consumer Credit:Test Based on Provincial Panel Data
Exploring the potential impact of the digital economy on residents'consumer credit is of great significance for the effective use of consumer credit to promote the recovery and expansion of the consumer market.Based on the panel data of 29 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022,the role of digital economy on the development of residents'consumer credit is empirically analyzed.The results show that the digital economy can significantly promote the growth of residents'consumer credit.The conclusion still holds after endogeneity test using instrumental variable method and robustness test methods such as robust standard error.The mechanism analysis points out that the level of social consumption,disposable income per capita and the level of financial technology are the mediators of the development of the digital economy to promote residents'consumer credit.The heterogeneity study shows that the catalytic effect of the digital economy is stronger in the eastern region,as well as in regions with higher levels of financial development and more developed technological market development.Therefore,it is suggested that digital economy consumption guidance and the construction of digital financial service platforms should be strengthened to attract consumers to the residential consumer credit market.

digital economyconsumer creditfintech levelconsumption level

刘凯莉、吴朝霞、李晨潇

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美国约翰霍普金斯大学

湘潭大学商学院

美国宾夕法尼亚大学

数字经济 居民消费信贷 金融科技水平 消费水平

2024

科学决策
中国社会经济系统分析研究会,国家信息中心国际信息研究所,中国航天科技集团总公司710所

科学决策

CSSCICHSSCD
影响因子:1.104
ISSN:1006-4885
年,卷(期):2024.(11)