首页|养老PPP项目公私合作行为的演化博弈分析

养老PPP项目公私合作行为的演化博弈分析

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党的二十大报告指出实施积极应对人口老龄化战略,养老PPP项目高质量发展是实施人口老龄化战略的重要方面.现实中养老PPP项目发展陷入发起率、落地率和绩效达成率"三低"的合作困境,究其根源是公私双方合作行为的激励机制失灵导致.通过构建政府和社会资本两个理性经济人主体合作行为的演化博弈模型,基于现实国情、文献研究和养老服务项目属性刻画养老PPP项目激励约束机制的演变特征和参数校准,考察各种激励情况下公私合作策略的演变对项目绩效的影响.结果显示元模型或者单一合作机制模型中,社会资本提供的都是低质量的养老服务,只有在多重合作机制下,公私双方才能采取有利于项目绩效提升的合作行为,从而实现项目成功.
Evolutionary Game Analysis of Public-Private Partnership Behaviour in Pension PPP Projects
Party Report to the 20th CPC National Congress pointed out that implementing the strategy of actively responding to the aging of the population,The high-quality development of pension PPP project is an important issue in implementing the strategy of population aging.However,in reality,the development of PPP projects for the aged falls into the cooperation dilemma of"three lows"in initiation rate,landing rate and performance achievement rate.The root cause is that the incentive mechanism of public-private cooperation has failed.By constructing an evolutionary game model of cooperative behavior between gov-ernment and social capital,Based on the actual national conditions,literature research and attributes of pension projects,the characteristics and parameter calibration of incentive and restraint mechanism of PPP projects for the aged are described,Investigate the influence of public-private partnership behavior strate-gies on cooperation effectiveness under various incentives.The empirical results show that in the meta-model or single cooperative mechanism model,the social capital provides low-quality senior care services,and only in the multiple cooperative mechanisms,both public and private parties can adopt cooperative be-havior and achieve project success.

pension PPP projectpublic-private cooperation behaviourevolutionary game

刘旦

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江西财经大学信息管理学院

养老PPP项目 公私合作行为 演化博弈

江西省社会科学基金(十四五)

22GL12

2024

科学·经济·社会
兰州大学

科学·经济·社会

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.229
ISSN:1006-2815
年,卷(期):2024.42(1)
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