Multi-agent Simulations and Periodic Law of Dynasties
The periodic law of the Empire is steady and persist.There seems to be a general director that governs the dynamics process of human society.This paper aims to reveal this mechanism behind the macro-level systemic law in China.In order to make up for the weak aspects of static theoretic research and data mining,a new paradigm of multi-agent system simulation is adopted.From the perspective of social structure and social actors,a multi-agent system(MAS)including tiger(empires'enemy),wolf(ruling class),sheep(peasant class)and grass(agricultural land)is constructed.Therefore,the goal of high-definition back-calculating the 2 132-year historical dynamics,from the Qin to Qing Dynasties,can be achieved.Through parameter randomization and genealogy,continuous simulations can be carried out,in order to find the optimal parameter solution with the highest fitness of history.This optimal solution not only matches the span distribution of empires in history,but also precisely corresponds to the order and spans of empires.Although now China has no risk of the periodic law,this study still has far-reaching strategic significance.
periodic law of dynastyrise and fallmulti-agent simulation
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
