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基于多智能体建模的旅游目的地碳平衡压力研究

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旅游业是现代服务业中的"碳排"大户.在我国"双碳"部署下,加快促成旅游碳平衡将助推旅游产业实现绿色转型和高质量发展.参照现实目的地系统,提炼出三大类智能体(旅游者、居民和环境),依据相关研究制定智能体行为决策规则,建立了旅游目的地碳平衡压力仿真系统,并探索目的地环境、社会和旅游者行为等参数设置对目的地旅游碳平衡的影响.实验发现:(1)目的地植被覆盖率与目的地旅游碳平衡压力显著负相关,而单位面积植被固碳能力的提升虽能增强目的地碳承载力,但对减轻碳平衡压力的助益较小;(2)目的地物价水平和居民环境意识的提高均能有力限制旅游碳足迹的增长从而减轻碳平衡压力,但此两者作用效能不同;(3)交通碳足迹是加重目的地旅游碳平衡压力的重要原因,主要客源市场越远,目的地碳平衡压力越大,提升植被覆盖率和居民环境意识对碳平衡压力的减轻效果也越显著.在未来,旅游碳平衡的实现有赖于交通和休闲服务设施中清洁能源等减碳节能技术的广泛应用,以及目的地居民和游客环保意识的增强.
Research on Carbon Balance Pressure of Tourist Destinations Based on Multi-Agent Modeling
Tourism is a major"carbon emitter"in the modern service industry.Under China's"dual-carbon"deployment,accelerating the carbon balance of tourism will help the tourism industry achieve green transformation and high-quality development.With reference to the real destination system,three major types of intelligences(tourists,residents and environment)are extracted,and based on the relevant research,we formulate the decision-making rules of the intelligences'behaviours,establish a simulation system for the pressure of carbon balance in tourism destinations,and explore the influence of the parameters of destination environment,society and tourists'behaviours on the carbon balance of tourism destinations.It was found that:(1)the vegetation coverage of a destination is negatively correlated with the carbon balance pressure of tourism in the destination,while the increase of carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation per unit area can enhance the carbon carrying capacity of the destination,but is less helpful in reducing the carbon balance pressure;(2)the price level of a destination and the improvement of environmental awareness of residents can both limit the growth of the carbon footprint of tourism and thus reduce the pressure on the carbon balance,but the two roles are not the same;(3)the carbon footprint of transport is a major factor that increases the carbon balance pressure of the destination.And the further away the main source market is,the greater the pressure on the carbon balance of the destination,and the more significant the effect of improving the vegetation coverage and environmental awareness of the residents on reducing the pressure on the carbon balance.In the future,the realisation of the carbon balance of tourism depends on the wide application of carbon reduction and energy-saving technologies such as clean energy in transport and leisure service facilities,as well as the enhancement of the environmental awareness of destination residents and tourists.

multi-agentmodeling and simulationtourism carbon balancecarbon balance pressure

郭素婷、杜彦伯、杨雯宇

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郑州大学 管理学院,河南 郑州 450001

多智能体 建模仿真 旅游碳平衡 碳平衡压力

2024

科学与管理
山东省科学院

科学与管理

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.38
ISSN:1003-8256
年,卷(期):2024.44(6)