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基于WEAP水资源模型的西部矿区最优发展规划研究

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水资源短缺严重影响着西部矿区煤炭开采的可持续发展.为了从水资源角度指导矿区发展规划的制定,使西部矿区综合效益达到最大,以西部某矿区为例,根据该矿区可能的发展方向,综合考虑人口增长、矿山开采规模、节水力度、绿化强度4个因素,以2015年数据为基准,制定矿山发展至2035年的8个预案.采用WEAP模型对不同预案下矿区需水量、缺水量、缺水率等的变化进行模拟.基于模拟结果,建立矿区经济、社会、生态环境多目标函数,最终选出最优预案.结果表明,使矿区综合效益值能够达到最大的预案是"强力开采强力节水适度绿化"预案,综合评价值为0.6856.以该预案作为矿区制定下一步发展规划的参考,矿区水资源承载力得到了提升,实现了矿区的综合效益最大化.
Study on The Optimal Development Planning of Western Mining Area Based on WEAP Water Resources Model
The shortage of water resources seriously affects the sustainable development of coal mining in western mining areas.In order to guide the formulation of the development plan of the mining area from the perspective of water resources,so as to maximize the comprehensive benefits of the western mining area.Taking a mining area in the west as an example,according to the possible development direction of the mining area,the four factors of population growth,mining scale,water saving intensity and greening intensity were comprehensively considered to formulate 8 contingency plans for the development of mines until 2035 in terms of the data from 2015.By using the WEAP model,the changes in water demand,water deficit,and water deficit rate in mining areas under different contingency plans were simulated.Based on the simulation results,multi-objective functions of the mining,including the economic,social and ecological environment were established,and the optimal plan was finally selected.The results show that the plan to maximize the comprehensive benefit value of the mining area is the plan of"strong mining,strong water saving and moderate greening",and the comprehensive evaluation value is 0.6856.Taking this plan as a reference for the mining area to formulate the next development plan,the water resources carrying capacity of the mining area has been improved,and the comprehensive benefits of the mining area have been maximized.

Western mining areaWEAP modelWater resources carrying capacityDevelopment planning

王邦策、黄振华、田相俊、曹志国、王勇

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北京科技大学土木与资源工程学院,北京 100083

煤炭开采水资源保护与利用国家重点实验室,北京 102211

西部矿区 WEAP模型 水资源承载力 发展规划

国家重点实验室开放基金

SHJT-17-42.19

2024

矿业研究与开发
长沙矿山研究院有限责任公司 中国有色金属学会

矿业研究与开发

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.763
ISSN:1005-2763
年,卷(期):2024.44(3)
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