首页|2021-2023年我国煤矿事故统计分析及致因研究

2021-2023年我国煤矿事故统计分析及致因研究

扫码查看
为了客观分析我国煤矿事故的规律和特点,利用数理统计、相关分析、聚类分析、ABC分类管理等方法,对我国2021-2023年的煤矿事故,从事故等级、时间、地域、类型等方面进行了统计分析.结果表明:2023年我国煤矿重大、特大事故有所反弹,应加强防范;煤矿事故5-9月份高发,11月至次年2月份较少,交接班前后1~2h事故率较高,表现出季节性和时间段集中的特征;煤矿事故呈现出明显的地域差异,山西、内蒙古、陕西、贵州、甘肃为事故高发地区,应重点防范;顶板、运输、机电事故起数较多,火灾、水害、冲击地压事故平均造成的死亡人数多,应分类管理.此外,针对起数较多的顶板、运输、机电三类主要事故,构建灰色关联分析模型,研究事故致因因素的关联程度,并提出了事故预防对策.
Statistical Analysis and Causal Research on Coal Mine Accidents in China from 2021 to 2023
In order to objectively analyze the laws and characteristics of coal mine accidents in China,using mathematical statistics,correlation analysis,cluster analysis,ABC classification management methods,the coal mine accidents in China from 2021 to 2023 were statistically analyzed from the aspects of accident grade,time,region and type.The results show that,the major accidents and extremely serious accidents of China's coal mine have rebounded in 2023,and prevention should be strengthened.Coal mine accidents occurred more frequently from May to September,less from November to February,and the accident rate is higher in 1-2 hours before and after the shift,which shows the characteristics of seasonality and time concentration.Coal mine accidents show obvious regional differences.Shanxi,Inner Mongolia,Shaanxi,Guizhou and Gansu are the areas with high incidence of accidents,and should be focused on prevention.The accident number of roof,transportation,mechanical and electrical accidents is more,and the average number of deaths caused by fire,water disaster and rock burst accidents is more,which should be classified and managed.In addition,according to the three major accident categories of roof,transportation and mechanical and electrical,the grey correlation analysis model was built to study the correlation degree of the factors causing the accident,and the accident prevention countermeasures were put forward.

Coal mine accidentStatistical analysisCause factorGrey correlation analysisPreventive countermeasure

张盈盈、杨云、张景、高乐义

展开 >

吕梁学院资源与机械工程系,山西吕梁市 033001

煤矿事故 统计分析 致因因素 灰色关联分析 预防对策

2024

矿业研究与开发
长沙矿山研究院有限责任公司 中国有色金属学会

矿业研究与开发

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.763
ISSN:1005-2763
年,卷(期):2024.44(11)