癫痫与神经电生理学杂志2024,Vol.33Issue(6) :345-350.DOI:10.19984/j.cnki.1674-8972.2024.06.04

脑出血后早发癫痫与晚发癫痫患者的危险因素分析及预警模型的建立

Analysis of risk factors for early versus late onset seizures after cerebral hemorrhage and the establishment of prewarning models

丁旭亮 张建党 董孟宁 张晨 陈亚楠
癫痫与神经电生理学杂志2024,Vol.33Issue(6) :345-350.DOI:10.19984/j.cnki.1674-8972.2024.06.04

脑出血后早发癫痫与晚发癫痫患者的危险因素分析及预警模型的建立

Analysis of risk factors for early versus late onset seizures after cerebral hemorrhage and the establishment of prewarning models

丁旭亮 1张建党 1董孟宁 1张晨 1陈亚楠2
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作者信息

  • 1. 473000,河南南阳,南阳市中心医院神经外科
  • 2. 河南省人民医院神经内科
  • 折叠

摘要

目的 探讨脑出血后早发癫痫(ES)与晚发癫痫(LS)的危险因素并建立预警模型.方法 回顾性分析2022年6月至2024年8月南阳市中心医院神经外科收治的87例脑出血后癫痫发作患者,按癫痫发作时间分为ES组(41例)和LS组(46例).另选取脑出血后未发生癫痫发作的患者作为单纯脑出血组(52例),比较3组的一般资料、实验室指标与影像学指标,采用logistic回归分析ES与LS的独立危险因素并建立预警模型,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析评估ES与LS预警模型的预测效能.结果 ES组和LS组患者的美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分和开颅手术比例均高于单纯脑出血组(P<0.05);ES组有脑出血病史的患者比例高于单纯脑出血组与LS组(P<0.05);ES组和LS组患者的低密度脂蛋白均低于单纯脑出血组(P<0.05);ES组和LS组累及皮质、多发病灶患者比例高于单纯脑出血组(P<0.05);LS组病灶位于脑叶(额、颞)患者比例高于单纯脑出血组与ES组(P<0.05);Logistic回归分析显示有脑出血病史(OR=1.372,95%CI为2.435~3.782)、病灶数量多发(OR=2.164,95%CI 为 3.293~9.284)及高 NIHSS 评分(OR=2.747,95%CI为1.253~6.732)是脑出血后发生ES的危险因素(P<0.05),累及皮质(OR=1.793,95%CI 为 1.073~6.295)、脑叶(额、颞)出血(OR=1.478,95%CI 为 4.435~11.782)是脑出血后发生LS的危险因素(P<0.05);ROC结果显示脑出血后发生ES的预警模型的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.869(95%CI为0.858~0.922,P<0.05);脑出血后发生LS的预警模型的AUC为0.893(95%CI为0.867~0.943,P<0.05).结论 有脑出血病史、病灶数量多发及高NIHSS评分是脑出血后ES的危险因素,累及皮质、脑叶(额、颞)出血是脑出血后LS的危险因素.

Abstract

Objective To investigate the risk factors of early onset epilepsy(ES)and late onset epi-lepsy(LS)after cerebral hemorrhage and establish prewarning models.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on 87 patients with post-cerebral hemorrhage seizures admitted to Department of Neurosur-gery,Nanyang Central Hospital from June 2022~August 2024.The patients were divided into ES(41 ca-ses)and LS(46 cases)groups according to seizure onset time.In addition,52 patients without seizures after cerebral hemorrhage were selected as a simple cerebral hemorrhage group.Three groups were compared for general data,laboratory indicators and imaging indicators.Logistic regression was applied to analyze inde-pendent risk factors of ES and LS and establish prewarning models.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive performance of ES and LS prewarning models.Results National Institute of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)scores and craniotomy proportions were higher in ES and LS groups than those in simple cerebral hemorrhage group(P<0.05).The proportions of the patients with the history of cerebral hemorrhage were higher in ES and LS groups than that in simple cerebral hemorrhage group(P<0.05).Low-density lipoprotein levels in both ES and LS groups were lower than those in simple cerebral hemorrhage group(P<0.05).The proportions of the patients with cortical involvement and multi-ple lesions were higher in ES and LS groups than those in simple cerebral hemorrhage group(P<0.05).The proportion of the patients with lesions located in the frontal and temporal lobes of the brain was higher in LS group than that in simple cerebral hemorrhage and the ES groups(P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that the history of cerebral hemorrhage(OR=1.372,95%CI:2.435~3.782),multiple lesions(OR=2.164,95%CI:3.293~9.284)and high NIHSS score(OR=2.747,95%CI:1.253~6.732)were risk factors for ES after cerebral hemorrhage(P<0.05),and cortex involvement(OR=1.793,95%CI:1.073~6.295)and lobar(frontal and temporal)hemorrhage(OR=1.478,95%CI:4.435~11.782)were risk factors for LS after intracerebral hemorrhage(P<0.05).ROC analysis results showed that AUC of prewarning model for ES after cerebral hemorrhage was 0.869(95%CI:0.858~0.922,P<0.05),and AUC of prewarning model for LS after cerebral hemorrhage was 0.893(95%CI:0.867~0.943,P<0.05).Conclusion History of cerebral hemorrhage,multiple lesions and high NIHSS score are risk factors for ES after cerebral hemorrhage.Cortex involvement and lobar(frontal and temporal)hemorrhage are risk factors for LS after cerebral hemorrhage.

关键词

脑出血/癫痫/早发癫痫/晚发癫痫/预警模型/危险因素

Key words

cerebral hemorrhage/epilepsy/early onset epilepsy/late onset epilepsy/prewarn-ing model/risk factor

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出版年

2024
癫痫与神经电生理学杂志
贵阳医学院,中华医学会神经病学分会脑电图与癫癎学组

癫痫与神经电生理学杂志

影响因子:0.276
ISSN:1674-8972
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