首页|巴西工业技术发展缘何进展缓慢?——基于与韩国的比较研究

巴西工业技术发展缘何进展缓慢?——基于与韩国的比较研究

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20世纪70年代末,在取得经济高速增长的"奇迹"后,巴西的后发追赶戛然而止,与二战结束时处于大致相同发展水平、此后又同样在威权体制下经历高速增长的韩国步入不同的发展轨迹.本文着眼于军事独裁时期的巴西和朴正熙时期的韩国在工业技术领域的发展.两国在大致相同的历史时期具有诸多相似特征,为我们通过求异比较解释发展差异提供了条件.后发技术追赶是一个长时段的历史过程,这要求后发国家具有较长的时间视野,能够在较长时段规划发展战略并一以贯之地执行.这通常取决于一国内部的精英关系结构.巴西军事独裁政府内部精英高度分裂,使得历届军政府都面临以经济绩效换取政权合法性和政治支持的压力.因此,巴西政府在工业技术发展中采取了许多短视措施,不仅未能建立一个与工业生产体系相互支撑的内生的技术进步核心机制,反而陷入了依附型发展的窘境.相比之下,凝聚性的精英关系结构则使朴正熙时期的韩国有能力实施各种长期举措,促使韩国工业技术水平快速提升,成为继日本之后东亚地区又一中等技术强国.
Why Is Brazil's Industrial Technology Development Slow?——A Comparative Study with South Korea
After the"miracle"of high economic growth in the mid-1970s,Brazil's catching-up process came to an abrupt end and the country diverged from South Korea,which was at roughly the same level of development by the end of the Second World War.The many similarities between these two countries in roughly the same historical period provide us with an opportunity to explain their developmental differences through comparative studies.Since it usually takes a long time for latecomers to catch up,this study focuses on the role of time horizons in industrial technological upgrading and proposes that the relationship between domestic political elites affects a country's time horizons.Brazil's military dictatorship was characterised by a high degree of elite fragmentation,and the risk of losing power put pressure on ruling elites to trade economic performance for regime legitimacy and political support.The ruling elites of Brazil found it difficult to develop a long-term orientation,as a result,they implemented various short-sighted economic policies rather than focusing on upgrading industrial technology.Instead of embarking on an endogenous path of technological progress,Brazil fell into the dilemma of dependent development.In contrast,the cohesive relations between political elite in South Korea enabled Park Chung Hee administration to develop a long-term development orientation.As a result,it successfully implemented several long-term initiatives that led to a rapid increase in its capacity to innovate in the field of industrial technology,making it the next strong country after Japan in East Asia in terms of science and technology.

BrazilSouth Koreaindustrial technology upgradingconflict among political elitestime horizons

张倩雨

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中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院

巴西 韩国 工业技术发展 精英关系结构 时间视野

2024

拉丁美洲研究
拉丁美洲研究所

拉丁美洲研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.233
ISSN:1002-6649
年,卷(期):2024.46(4)