The article analyzes the current situation and characteristics of carbon emissions in Zhenjiang City from 2010 to 2022,and applies the STIRPAT model to predict carbon peak.The following conclusions are drawn:the overall trend of carbon dioxide emissions in Zhenjiang City from 2010 to 2022 is an increase,while the overall trend of carbon emission intensity is a decrease,indicating that the dependence of regional economic development on energy consumption has decreased,and green and low-carbon development has shown initial results.In a relaxed scenario,Zhenjiang City is unable to achieve the goal of peaking carbon emissions by 2030;under the benchmark scenario,Zhenjiang City will achieve carbon peak by 2030,with a peak carbon emission of 82.115 6 million tons;under the strict control scenario,Zhenjiang City will achieve a peak in carbon emissions by 2025,with a peak of 76.338 5 million tons.
关键词
碳排放/STIRPAT模型/岭回归/镇江市
Key words
carbon emissions/STIRPAT model/ridge regression/Zhenjiang City
维普
万方数据