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流动性视角下中国银行业系统性风险的测度

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基于2011-2019年中国商业银行的资产负债表数据,结合Bootstrap法,使用流动性剩余指标估计商业银行的流动性风险,利用风险贡献度指标计算商业银行的系统重要性。研究表明:样本中的绝大多数银行 2016年、2017年的相对流动性剩余高于其9年间的均值,其余年份基本低于均值,说明在 2015 年股市危机后,宽松的经济政策降低了银行的流动性风险。中国工商银行、中国建设银行、中国银行、中国农业银行是国内系统重要性银行,风险贡献度合计高达 77。4%。研究结论为银行业防范系统性风险提供参考。
Measuring systemic risk in China banking industry from a liquidity perspective
Based on the balance sheet data of Chinese commercial banks from 2011 to 2019,combined with the Bootstrap method,the liquidity risk of commercial banks is estimated by using the liquidity surplus index,and the systemic importance of commercial banks is calculated by using the risk contribution index.The results show that the liquidity surplus of most banks in the sample is higher than the mean of the banks over the past nine years in 2016 and 2017,and basically lower than the mean in other years,indicating that the relaxed economic policy reduced the liquidity risk of banks after the stock market crisis in 2015.Industrial and Commercial Bank of China,China Construction Bank,Bank of China and Agricultural Bank of China are systematically important banks in China,with a combined risk contribution of 77.4%.The research conclusion provides reference for the prevention of systemic risk in the banking industry.

commercial bankssystemic riskliquidity risksystemically important bankbalance sheet

张少华、陈鑫、林灿

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广州大学 经济与统计学院,广东 广州 510006

商业银行 系统性风险 流动性风险 系统重要性银行 资产负债表

2024

辽宁工程技术大学学报(社会科学版)
辽宁工程技术大学

辽宁工程技术大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.512
ISSN:1008-391X
年,卷(期):2024.26(6)