为分析影响中国进出口贸易的相关因素,利用Eviews8 软件,选取货物进出口总额作为被解释变量,国内生产总值(GDP)和关税税收作为解释变量,建立了多元线性回归模型对 2004-2020 年的变量数据进行回归分析.通过对模型的分析、检验和修正确定最终模型,最后根据模型得出货物进出口总额与 GDP 同方向变动的结论.
Analysis of Influencing Factors of China's Import and Export Trade
In this paper,Eviews8 software was used to select the total amount of imports and exports of goods as the explained variables,gross domestic product(GDP)and customs revenue as explanatory variables,and multiple linear regression model was established for regression analysis of variable data from 2004 to 2020.The final model is determined by analyzing,testing and revising the model.Finally,according to the model,the conclusion is drawn that the import and export of goods and GDP change in the same direction.
total imports and exports of goodsgross domestic producttariffsregression analysis
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
维普
