Carbon Peak Prediction of Steel Industry in Liaoning Province Based on Emission Factor Method
The steel industry,as a pillar industry of industrial production,holds an important share in the field of carbon emissions.The output of the steel industry in Liaoning Province is among the top in the country,and steel industry is the main industry that affects the carbon peak carbon target in Liaoning Province.It is necessary to carry out carbon peak prediction.In this paper,Accounting and Reporting Requirements of the Greenhouse Gas Emission was used to account for the carbon dioxide emissions from the steel industry in Liaoning Province from 2000 to 2019.Based on the emission factor method,the carbon dioxide emissions and peak conditions of the steel industry in Liaoning Province were predicted under three scenarios,The calculation results show that the peak time of the baseline scenario is 2035,with a peak of 2.9741×108 t;The peak time for the low-carbon scenario is 2027,with a peak of 2.2865×108 t;The peak time for the green scenarios is 2024,with a peak of 2.0902×108 t.The impact of energy structure on carbon peaking in the steel industry is proposed,and the economic indicators under the three scenarios are compared,so as to provide corresponding suggestions for the low-carbon transformation of the steel industry in Liaoning Province.
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