首页|大枣产业发展对榆林乡村振兴的影响实证——基于面板固定效应模型

大枣产业发展对榆林乡村振兴的影响实证——基于面板固定效应模型

扫码查看
以榆林乡村振兴局搜集到的大枣产业数据和榆林统计年鉴(2013~2022)的数据为基础,采用最小二乘法估计面板固定效应模型参数,然后通过逐步回归法逐步分析红枣产业整体发展水平kit、红枣总产值占比d_eit、种植面积占比d_fit 和红枣产量占比d_git 对乡村农民收入、产业融合和乡村就业的影响.结果表明,无论是单变量,还是多个变量的情况下,kit、d_eit、d_fit、d_git 对乡村农民收入产业融合都有着正向影响;在多变量下,加入d_fit 和d_git 后 没有通过显著性检验,但kit、d_eit 对乡村农民收入和产业融合呈现为正向显著影响.最后根据分析结果,总结了当前榆林大枣产业发展的问题,并提出了相应的建议.以期为提升榆林市大枣产业的经济效益、促进乡村振兴战略的开展和实施提供参考.
Empirical Study on the Impact of the Development of Jujube Industry on Rural Revitalization in Yulin——Based on Panel Fixed Effect Model
On the basis of the jujube industry data collected by Yulin Rural Revitalization Bureau and the data of Yulin Statistical Yearbook(2013~2022),the parameters of panel fixed effect model are estimated by least square method.Then,the influences of the overall development level of jujube industry(kit),the proportion of total output value of red jujube(d_eit),the proportion of planting area(d_fit)and the proportion of red ju-jube yield(d_git)on rural farmers'income,industrial integration and rural employment are gradually ana-lyzed by stepwise regression method.The results show that in the case of either single variable or multiple vari-ables,kit,d_eit,d_fit and d_git have a positive impact on rural farmers'income and industrial integration.In the case of multiple variables,the significance test is not passed after adding d_fit and d_git,but kit and d_eit have a positive and significant impact on rural farmers'income and industrial integration.the panel fixed-effect model parameters were estimated by the least squares method.Finally,according to the analysis results,the problems of the current jujube industry development in Yulin are summarized,and the suggestions are put for-ward,thereby providing reference for improving the economic benefits of jujube industry in Yulin and promo-ting the development and implementation of rural revitalization strategy.

Rural revitalizationIndustrial developmentJujubeSuggestionsPanel data regression

蔡小娟

展开 >

西北大学现代学院,陕西 西安 710130

乡村振兴 产业发展 大枣 建议 面板数据回归

2024

辽宁农业科学
辽宁省农业科学院 辽宁省农学会

辽宁农业科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.376
ISSN:1002-1728
年,卷(期):2024.(3)